硬科技大票逆市大升:龍頭戰法乾死,產業打法盛行?

又是縮量調整無聊的一天,除了大金融、煤炭等高股息繼續走強,還有另一個與微盤股下跌走勢相反的方向:包括半導體、算力和端側AI等硬科技方向的產業容量大票,連續逆市走出了近期新高,其中有一定代表性的包括中興通訊、上汽集團、中芯國際、寒武紀、麥格米特、海光信息、創維數字、華勤技術、華工科技、瑞芯微等票(僅作盤面分析,不構成任何推薦)。

一邊是大盤持續縮量調整,另一邊卻是產業大票不斷拉升,事出反常必有因。先來聊一個有關A股生態背景變化的話題,最近有關“遊資被量化精準收割”的消息在市場備受關注,幻方量化旗下新發布的國產AI大模型DeepSeek-V3性能匹敵GPT-4o,被網友稱為“核動力鐮刀”。這也驗證了之前大家推測的量化私募通過模型訓練,掌握了遊資常用的短線操作手法,同時量化資金更加“快準狠”,加上擁有融券做空優勢,所以量化完勝遊資和散户也不足為怪。
盤面上看,最近一個多月以來,比較常見的是,市場強勢股日內升停以後會突然炸板下挫,或者一些連板強勢股經常次日開盤就直接重挫甚至一字跌停,甚至會連續跌停好幾個板,這種虐心走法連遊資也是逃不出的,唯有融券做空者能賺錢。
既然在小票上,遊資打不過量化,散户之前跟隨遊資響應的龍頭戰法也失效了,那資金就只能去找新共識方向了。每到跨年行情,一方面機構會做一波機構排名行情,另一方面也會提前佈局來年的市場主線方向,像目前市場持續火熱的算力鏈、AI眼鏡端側AI、芯片半導體等。
現階段這些有硬科技產業邏輯和一定基本面的行業容量大票就成了相對亮眼的趨勢方向了,有相關產業故事和機構資金加持的個股更成了年底最為活躍方向了,這些個股的盤面往往呈現機構主導、量化加速、散户跟風的新特徵,被市場稱之為“產業打法”。
這裏簡單梳理幾個票的產業故事,不保真也不構成任何推薦。
①中興通訊:據傳中興微電子將推出自研大模型ASIC芯片,同時旗下努比亞手機旗艦款將深入植入大模型,把模型嵌入為手機內核,將手機轉化為私人助理,同時將作為各種AI終端的核心控制平台,類小米米家。這些跟ZJ有合作關聯。
②上汽集團:市場有傳聞公司與H高層領導近期接洽,將把飛凡系列放HW渠道銷售,並且1月份公吿與H汽車合作的具體事項和內容,另外之前也有傳FSD入華合作但是被官方闢謠。
③中芯國際:有消息稱,中芯國際28納米芯片的價格從原本的2500美元驟降至1500美元,降幅高達40%,另傳W鵬芯旭,芯恩一起賣給SMIC,上海國資出錢,聽説PB低於1x,先進製程1.5萬片,還有28製程,合計11.5萬片。
……
那麼哪些產業故事更為靠譜?接下來硬科技產業容量大票能否延續趨勢?
量化佔優背景下,遊機共振行情能否存在?散户投資如何能避免“鐮刀”找到更為穩健方向?
題材方向還有哪些的硬科技值得佈局?跨年行情,中特估和科特估誰將更佔優?
……
更專業詳細的市場機會分享,歡迎加入《格隆匯研究院羣英會》全天候直播:帶你釐清真相,識別潛在風險,抓準真機會。


注意:文中所提個股和題材板塊不構成任何推薦,僅為覆盤和學習交流所用,投資決策需建立在自我獨立理性思考和專業研判之上,市場有風險,投資需謹慎。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of this article is for reference only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, financial products or instruments.The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.