《本地樓市》花旗料今年本港樓價再跌一成 2025年或見底
花旗銀行預計,受供應偏多及息口仍然高企影響,預計今年本港樓市將繼續回調,跌幅約10%。周期底部或在2025年出現,將取決於利率走勢及中國宏觀環境。
花旗投資策略及環球財富策劃部主管廖嘉豪預期,今年美國聯儲局將累計減息1厘,對本港經濟及樓市影響不會即時出現,特別是港銀對最優惠利率(P)若保持審慎,或會維持較高利率以對沖風險,估計美國減息不會令P大幅改變。
該行指,由於供過於求和需求疲軟,寫字樓租金今年或會進一步錄得中單位數跌幅。零售店舖租金則受人民幣影響,預期內地遊客偏好購物地區零售租金較為穩定,但其他地區的商舖租金調整幅度較大。
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