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港股異動 | 衛健委進一步優化疫情防控措施,餐飲股集體拉昇,海底撈漲超6%,九毛九漲超8%

餐飲股午後集體拉昇,截至發稿,$奈雪的茶(02150.HK)$$海倫司(09869.HK)$漲超10%,$九毛九(09922.HK)$漲超8%;$海底撈(06862.HK)$漲超6%;$呷哺呷哺(00520.HK)$漲超5%。

消息面上,國家衛健委發佈《關於進一步優化新冠肺炎疫情防控措施 科學精準做好防控工作的通知》。其中提出將風險區由“高、中、低”三類調整爲“高、低”兩類 最大限度減少管控人員;及時準確判定密切接觸者,不再判定密接的密接;一般不按行政區域開展全員核酸檢測,糾正“一天兩檢”、“一天三檢”等不科學做法;有序推進新冠病毒疫苗接種,加快新冠肺炎治療相關藥物儲備等多條要求。

安信證券發研報指,板塊來看,港股昨日(11月10日)食品、飲料等消費板塊表現突出。呷哺呷哺漲8.39%,海倫司漲2.80%,華潤啤酒漲1.32%。從20年國內的經驗和海外的經驗來看,餐飲與管控直接相關,一旦管控放鬆,客流會有明顯反彈。

參考20年的板塊表現,股價往往走在基本面之前。目前餐飲板塊仍處於估值底部,隨着防控政策放鬆的確定不斷增強,該行預計板塊的上漲趨勢會不斷增強。1)首推未來擴張較快、疫情期間表現較好的企業:九毛九;2)其次推薦擴張較快,但受到疫情衝擊較大的企業,要特別關注其單店營收改善的情況:呷哺呷哺、海倫司;3)推薦關注受到疫情衝擊較大,單店模型需要進一步確認的企業,該行將密切關注其盈利能力的改善,這類企業的業績彈性將更大:海底撈、奈雪的茶。

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