大行每日評級 | 瑞信維持中國中鐵跑贏大市評級

1.瑞信:維持中國中鐵(00390)“跑贏大市”評級 目標價降2.5%至6.85港元
瑞信發佈研究報告稱,維持中國中鐵(00390)“跑贏大市”評級,將2021-23年的每股盈利預測各下調2.6%及2.8%,原因是建築和房地產開發部門的收入增長放緩,以及壞賬撥備假設略有增加。該行將公司H股目標價由7.03港元下調至6.85港元,並將A股目標價由9.45元下調至9.2元人民幣。
2.花旗:重申偉易達集團(00303)“沽售”評級 目標價降9.6%至56港元
花旗發佈研究報告稱,重申偉易達集團(00303)“沽售”評級,公司盈警預告中期純利跌35%至40%,表現遜於該行預期,因此降其2022-24年度盈利預測分別10%/7%/4%,目標價由62港元降至56港元。該行指,公司缺乏收入增長,在說服消費者升級產品上面對更多挑戰,而且也難以將貨運及原料成本上升轉嫁客戶。
3.花旗:重申信義光能(00968)“買入”評級 目標價升5%至21港元
花旗發佈研究報告稱,重申信義光能(00968)“買入”評級,以反映太陽能玻璃需求強勁,今年需求預計同比增長38%,加上近期加價有助毛利率小幅上升,足夠抵銷原材料及天然氣每單位成本,同時行業新增產能也較先原預期少等利好因素。下調公司今年全年盈利預測9%以反映較低銷量,上調明年盈測28%以反映均價提升,下調2023年盈測4%以反映更保守毛利率預期,目標價自20港元上調至21港元。
4.瑞信:維持中國鐵建(01186)“跑贏大市”評級 目標價降2.59%至9港元
瑞信發佈研究報告稱,維持中國鐵建(01186)“跑贏大市”評級,目標價由9.24港元降至9港元,將今年至後年的每股盈利預測下調3%,預計該公司收入增幅會放緩,並輕微上調壞賬撥備預測。
報告中稱,所覆蓋建築商因爲承建房企工程以及發展自身物業項目,因而受到房地產行業風險影響,包括新訂單及收入減少、房價下跌、收賬減慢、融資環境收緊。
5.瑞信:維持中國交通建設(01800)“跑贏大市”評級 目標價降3.3%至6.6港元
瑞信發佈研究報告稱,維持中國交通建設(01800)“跑贏大市”評級,目標價由6.83港元下調至6.6港元,將2021-23年的每股盈利預測下調各3.3%及3.2%,因爲收入增長略微放緩,而且對其壞賬準備的假設較高。
該行表示,公司A股目標價由11.47元人民幣下調至11.09元人民幣,並認爲內地房地產建築業務可能面臨新訂單和收入的放緩,及應收賬款回款速度放緩的風險。
6.美銀證券:重申中國鋁業(02600)“買入”評級 目標價升17.6%至8港元
美銀證券發佈研究報告稱,重申中國鋁業(02600)“買入”評級,上調2021-23年鋁銷售均價預測介於3%至21%,並升氧化鋁銷售均價預測介於5%至9%,2021-23年盈測升介於34%至109%,以現金流折現率計,目標價由6.8港元升至8港元,併爲內地金屬及鋼行業首選。
報告中稱,該行全球商品團隊指出跨種商品進一步價格上行面臨風險。內地政府正出手重組商品密集行業,在物業市場收緊信貸、持續遏制排污(損害鋼鐵生產及鐵礦砂需求),以及汽車芯片短缺下,致商品需求下降。
該行表示,上調今年鋁價預測0.4%至每噸2465美元,及明年升13%至每噸3250美元。認爲除中國內地外,全球鋁生產商均缺乏意欲加大投資和產量。而中國鋁價則受減產和新生產線押後,4500萬噸產能上限未達限所支持;至今187萬噸產能已被停止,預計未來更多;新能源車、再生能源和出口增長多於房地產業潛在下行。雖然鋁面對短期下行風險,但基本面仍然穩健。
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