港股收評:衝高回落!恆指跌0.2%,半導體股跌幅明顯
港股今日上演衝高回落行情,恆生科技指數午後逼空一度大漲至4.2%,刷新階段新高後開始持續回調最終收跌0.87%,恆生指數、國企指數分別下跌0.2%及0.69%,盤中均大漲至3%。市場經歷連續上漲後做多情緒明顯趨於謹慎。

盤面上,大型科技股午後部分轉跌走勢呈現分化行情,快手漲6.3%,百度漲近6%,美團、阿里巴巴漲超2.5%,小米大跌5.56%,京東跌近3%,騰訊跌0.5%;半導體芯片股、中資券商股、汽車股、蘋果概念股等熱門板塊午後跳水明顯,權重股比亞迪電子跌超7%,中金公司跌超5%,長城汽車跌4.4%險守千億港元,中芯國際跌4%;昨日尾盤拉昇的內房股全天表現低迷,世茂集團、遠洋集團等多股跌幅超10%;教育股、光伏股、港口及海運股、石油股等普遍走低。另一方面,哪吒2帶火影視行業,電影概念股繼續表現強勢,阿里影業大漲7.69%,歡喜傳媒、檸萌影視皆上漲,濠賭股連續2日反彈,美高梅中國績後漲超6%,香港本地消費股、互聯網醫療股全天活躍。

具體來看:
內房股下挫,融信中國跌超13%,中樑控股跌超12%,世茂集團、遠洋集團跌超10%,富力地產、融創中國等跟跌。

半導體股大跌,上海復旦跌超7%,宏光半導體跌超6%,晶門半導體、華虹半導體跌超5%。

券商股走低,申萬宏源香港跌超9%,國泰君安國際跌超5%,第一上海、中金公司、招商證券跌超5%。

港口及海運股表現弱勢,太平洋航運跌超7%,中遠海能跌超5%,樂艙物流跌超4%,海豐國際、招商局港口等跟跌。

消息上,波羅的海乾散貨運價指數週三連續第三個交易日下跌,海岬型船運費則跌至約兩年低位。波羅的海乾散貨運價指數下滑25點或3.12%至776點。
影視股走高,阿里影業漲超7%,傳遞娛樂漲超6%,歡喜傳媒、檸萌影視跟漲。

短視頻概念股表現活躍,快手漲超6%,嗶哩嗶哩漲超5%,雲想科技跟漲。

濠賭股持續衝高,國際娛樂漲超8%,美高梅中國漲超6%,永利澳門、金沙中國等跟漲。

摩根大通認爲澳門博彩股過度修正(年初至今下跌12%,而恆生指數上漲6%),但在市場預期完全重置之前,建立市場情緒底部仍然具有挑戰性。目前,該行繼續偏好銀河娛樂和美高梅中國。
個股異動
理士國際盤中一度大漲26.38%,股價創2011年9月以來新高,最終收漲14.11%。消息面上,集團宣佈,建議分拆直接全資附屬公司Leoch Energy Inc及在美國證券交易所單獨上市。公司已獲聯交所批準可進行建議分拆。

今日,南向資金淨賣出10.24億港元,其中港股通(滬)淨買入23.35億港元,港股通(深)淨賣出33.59億港元。

展望後市,中泰國際發表研報稱,國內多重壓力仍存:製造業收縮、物價回升疲軟、國債收益率低迷及關稅衝擊,港股盈利預測面臨下修風險。
當前恆指風險溢價接近兩年均值-2個標準差,若美國10年期債息回落至4.4%,恆指風險溢價跌至5.5%(去年10月低位),理論高位約22500點,但單純依賴AI邏輯難以站穩22000點。隨着年報季開啓,基本面將重掌定價權,疊加科技金融領域潛在制裁風險未充分計價,需警惕港股衝高回落行情。
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