港股收評:恒科指升2.14%,“國補”引爆消費電子股,半導體、內房股強勢
1月21日,港股三大指數早盤衝高午後維持高位震盪,並且錄得6連升,恒指重回2萬點上方。截止收盤,恒指、國指分別上升0.91%及1.18%,恒生科技指數升2.14%表現最佳。

盤面上,作為市場風向標的大型科技股繼續維持活躍,芯片半導體股持續上升行情,尤其是龍頭中芯國際大升超6%續刷階段新高;內房股大幅拉昇,碧桂園復牌大升超17%領銜;“國補”首日手機銷量環比大增,手機概念股、消費電子股齊升;汽車股、乳製品股、航空股、黃金股、大金融股(銀行、券商、保險)紛紛表現活躍。另一方面,比特幣概念股、稀土概念股、高鐵基建股多數表現低迷。

具體來看:
科技股多數上升,小米升3.46%有望再度挑戰新高,美團、百度、網易升超1%,京東、阿里等小幅收升。

消費電子、蘋果概念股上升,舜宇光學科技升超7%,比亞迪電子升超4%,丘鈦科技、高位電子等跟升。近日,商務部會同有關部門印發《手機、平板、智能手錶(手環)購新補貼實施方案》,個人消費者購買手機、平板、智能手錶(手環)3類數碼產品,可享受購新補貼。

半導體股升幅居前,腦洞科技升超7%,中芯國際升超6%,晶門半導體升超5%。華安證券研報指出,我國啟動成熟製程反傾銷調查,將有希望減少美國半導體對國內的低價傾銷行為,緩解市場對海外半導體擴產衝擊國內競爭格局的擔憂,利好國內模擬芯片以及自主晶圓產能建設。

內房股爆發,碧桂園大升超17%,萬科企業升超9%,雅居樂集團升超6%,融信中國升超5%。東興證券認為,當前政策方向明確,中央持續表露出維護房地產市場企穩回升的意願。後續政策將會持續積極,推進政策落地的力度將會進一步加強。當前地產板塊在供需兩端都在迎來更加積極、持續的政策拉動,建議持續關注地產板塊的投資機會。

汽車股走高,小鵬、理想汽車升超5%,蔚來汽車、比亞迪股份等跟升。消息上,商務部等8部門近日發佈的《關於做好2025年汽車以舊換新工作的通知》顯示,在去年政策基礎上,今年不僅將部分國四排放標準車輛納入報廢換新補貼範圍,還明確置換更新補貼具體標準。光大證券認為,新一輪以舊換新汽車補貼有望平穩推進節前節後汽車消費、提振2025年汽車銷量。

重型基建股跌幅居前,泰升集團跌超7%,朝威控股跌超6%,中國建築國際、中國鐵建等跟跌。

油氣股走低,申港控股大跌超16%,中石油、中海油等紛紛收跌。消息面上,特朗普稱將宣佈國家能源緊急狀態,計劃提高石油天然氣產量,降低消費者成本,或撤銷氣候法規。週一油價重心回落,布倫特3月合約收盤下跌0.64美元至80.15美元/桶,跌幅0.79%。光大期貨認為,整體來看,影響油價的因素較前階段有邊際變化,油價存在高位調整可能。

今日,南向資金淨買入15.35億港元,其中港股通(滬)淨買入25.9億港元,港股通(深)淨賣出10.54億港元。

展望後市,華泰證券表示,歷史數據顯示,春節前一週至春節假期結束,恒生科技指數相對恒生指數通常勝率及上升概率相對佔優。
具體來看,恒生科技指數在這一期間的上升概率為70%,相對恒指的勝率為80%。這表明在春節前後,港股科技股的表現通常較好。
近期中美關係出現了一些積極信號,市場對海外擾動的擔憂或邊際緩和。這有助於提升市場對港股科技股的信心,尤其是在當前全球科技股普遍受到關注的背景下。
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