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港股收評:恒指跌0.16%,半導體芯片強勢爆發,中芯國際升逾8%

12月20日,港股三大指數早盤衝高,午後維持窄幅震盪行情,市場觀望情緒濃厚。截止收盤,恒指、國指分別下跌0.16%及0.12%,恒生科技指數升0.11%。

盤面上,大型科技股升跌不一,小米、騰訊升2.7%,快手跌5.4%,阿里巴巴跌3.44%;半導體芯片股全天強勢,龍頭中芯國際大升超8%,宏光半導體、華虹半導體、上海復旦皆走強;在線教育股、手遊股、體育用品股、啤酒股多數表現活躍。另一方面,煤炭股集體下挫,中煤能源跌超6%;航空股、重型機械股、黃金股、海運股表現萎靡。

具體來看:

大型科技股升跌不一,小米、騰訊升2.7%,美團飄紅,快手跌5.4%,阿里巴巴跌3.44%,京東、百度皆下跌。

半導體股大幅走強,康特隆升22.64%,中芯國際升8.22%,宏光半導體升6.9%,華虹半導體、晶門半導體、上海復旦跟升。招銀國際表示,長期看好中國半導體產業鏈自主可控趨勢帶來的國產份額提升機會。地緣政治風險的加劇,驅使各主要經濟體將產業鏈發展的首要目標從提升生產效率轉向保證供應鏈安全上。對於中國而言,半導體自主可控將是長期趨勢,這將為產業鏈相關受益標的帶來市場份額提升的巨大紅利。

騰訊概念股上行,微盟集團升25.37%,東方甄選升15.54%,有贊升近7%,騰訊控股升2.7%。

新能源汽車股拉昇,零跑汽車升超3%,理想汽車升超2%,蔚來汽車升超1%。

加密貨幣概念股集體下跌,雄岸科技、藍港互動、OSL集團跌超5%,美圖公司跌4.33%,歐科雲鏈跌1.7%。消息面上,虛擬貨幣繼續受壓,“一哥”比特幣跌破9.6萬美元水平,已較歷史高位跌逾一成。

煤炭股走弱,南戈壁跌超12%,中煤能源跌超6%,蒙古焦煤跌超5%,中國神華、首鋼資源、兗礦能源跟跌。 消息面上,進入消費旺季,煤炭價格跌破800元/噸後仍持續走低。12月11日,秦皇島港5500大卡動力煤現貨平倉價報799元/噸,年內首次跌破800元/噸關口;12月13日,CCTD環渤海5500大卡動力煤市場價降至800元/噸。多家行業分析機構表示,此次煤炭價格下跌主要因為市場供應充足。

航空股下跌,中國國航、中國東方航空股份、中國南方航空股份跌超3%,北京首都機場股份、國泰航空跌超1%。

黃金股表現低迷,潼關黃金跌超5%,中國黃金國際、山東黃金、紫金礦業跌超2%,招金礦業、靈寶黃金跌超1%。

港口運輸股部分飄綠,太平洋航運跌3.7%,中遠海控跌2.61%,中國外運跌1.96%。

今日,南下資金淨買入16.32港元,其中港股通(滬)淨買入12.21億港元,港股通(深)淨買入4.11億港元。

展望後市,華泰證券指出,至1月下旬特朗普正式上台之前,綜合考慮目前港股盈利預期的下調趨勢、海外流動性或易緊難松、政策空窗期恒指風險溢價常在均值水位震盪及目前較低的恒指沽空佔比情況,港股或面臨階段小歇腳期。因此,配置上我們建議以穩為主:風格上可超配對中美利差更敏感的紅利資產做防禦,行業中可關注2025年彭博一致盈利預期仍較穩健的保險、電信。此外,待年底年初電價調整靴子落地後,公用類標的或亦將迎來配置窗口期。

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