光大證券:本輪縮量下跌幅度相對較小,後續上證指數反彈空間大約5%左右
光大證券8月20日研報表示,滬指已三連陽,但升幅不大,尚未突破2900點,主要是量能不夠。銀行為代表的權重明顯強於題材方向,工、農、中、建四大行續創歷史新高,無論從高股息層面,還是中報業績方面,銀行均具有優勢。未來高股息及“科特估”值得長期關注。3月以來A股市場日度成交額持續下行,從接近14000億元萎縮至不到5000億元。上週市場成交額連續3天低於5000億元,創2020年5月以來的新低。本次縮量與下跌同時發生已持續超過6個月,後續繼續下行的可能性較低,基本可以判斷為底部。本輪縮量下跌幅度相對較小,後續上證指數反彈空間大約5%左右,能否繼續向上突破仍需關注經濟基本面與資金面的持續好轉。
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