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升到頭了?英偉達遭罕見降級,華爾街“擔憂”之聲此起彼伏

堪稱“宇宙硬核第一股”的英偉達在一路狂奔之後,華爾街“擔憂”的聲音已經此起彼伏。

去年來,英偉達去年累計上升了239%;而年初至今,英偉達仍在遙遙直上累升超過了154%,期間更是一度超越微軟、蘋果登頂全球第一。

雖然6月下旬遭遇了一番“小挫折”,但其市值仍高達3.1萬億美元,位居微軟、蘋果之後。

眼下,由於對英偉達的估值擔憂,華爾街罕見地下調了英偉達的股票評級。週五,英偉達收跌1.9%報125.83美元。

週五,NewStreet Research 分析師 Pierre Ferragu 將這隻AI巨頭的股票評級從“買入”下調至“中性”

他認為,自去年年初以來,英偉達驚人的反彈已經耗盡了上升的空間。在2023年上升近240%的基礎上,今年飆升154%後“充分體現估值”。

只有在牛市背景下,即2025年以後的前景大幅改善,英偉達股價才會有上行空間,而目前還不確定這種情況是否會出現。”

他指出,雖然英偉達仍然是AI數據中心領域最強大的特許經營公司,但近期預期和估值證明,有必要對該股的看法更為謹慎。

英偉達是今年標準普爾500指數成分股中表現第二好的公司,僅次於AI投資者的忠愛的另一家熱門公司——超微電腦。

對於一家已成為人工智能熱潮最大受益者的公司來説,分析師下調評級是罕見的。

彭博社的數據顯示,華爾街分析師很少對英偉達發表悲觀看法。在72位分析師中,有 89% 的人都建議買入英偉達。

樂觀的人預計,英偉達的迅猛增長將持續下去,甚至預測到今年年底,英偉達的估值將增長近一倍,達到6萬億美元。

包括高盛、美銀、傑富瑞等大投行也紛紛表達了對英偉達的“青睞”。

值得一提的是,此前有美國“國會山股神”之稱的佩洛西增持了英偉達。其中,購買了10000股英偉達股票,購買規模為100萬至500萬美元。

不過,Ferragu 也並未完全看跌英偉達。

給出的英偉達一年和兩年目標價分別為135美元和143美元,這意味着較當前水平可能上升6%和12%。

Ferragu 肯定了英偉達的基本面質量,稱其仍然完好無損,但只會在股價持續低迷時,才會考慮再次買入英偉達。

目前華爾街對英偉達的股票持絕對樂觀態度,在FactSet追蹤的62位分析師中,只有8位對英偉達的股票持中性立場。

雖然下調了英偉達的股票評級,但Ferragu看好另外兩隻AI受益股AMD和台積電的股價表現理由是它們的增長趨勢和估值。

他對這兩隻股票的12個月目標價分別為235美元和1200新台幣,較它們目前的股價分別高出38%和約19%。

Ferragu稱,AMD和台積電是AI受益股中最值得持有的股票,有着強勁的上升空間。另外,在其他人工智能概念股中,博通、Arista Networks和美光科技都“仍具吸引力”。

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