《即日市評》恆指上揚 中海油領漲 手機設備股彈高
港股今日(8日)受友邦(01299.HK)及中海油(00883.HK)等升勢帶動向上。歐洲央行維持利率不變,另美聯儲主席鮑威爾表示距離減息或「不遠」,美股道指及納指隔晚(7日)各升0.3%及1.5%;撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.081厘,美匯指數跌至102.89,道指期貨最新升20點或0.05%,納指期貨最新升0.1%。人民幣即期收升68點報7.1918兌一美元,上證綜指全日升18點或0.61%收3,046點,深證成指升1.1%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,606億元人民幣。
恆指高開45點後升幅擴大,曾升259點見16,489點,全日升123點或0.8%,收16,353點;國指升42點或0.8%,收5,656點;恆生科技指數升26點或0.8%,收3,385點。大市全日成交總額降至866.88億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入28.37億及9.57億元人民幣。科網股走個別,小米(01810.HK)全日漲2.2%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)漲0.8%,但騰訊(00700.HK)跌0.7%收270元。友邦(01299.HK)全日股價漲3%。
恆指本周累跌236點或1.4%、國指本周累跌72點或1.3%、恆生科指本周累跌102點或2.9%。美聯儲局主席鮑威爾早前指仍關注通脹風險,目前尚未準備好開始減息,但料今年將開始減息,投資者關注美息走向;而國務院總理李強本周二(5日)向全國人大會議作《政府工作報告》提出今年GDP增長目標為5%左右。
【中海油領漲 友邦有支持】
中海油(00883.HK)全日股價上揚4.4%收17.96元。中海油表示,在南海深水深層獲得開平南億噸級油田發現。開平南油田位於南海東部海域,平均水深約500米。主要含油層系為古近系珠海組、恩平組和文昌組,油品性質為輕質原油。發現井KP18-1-1d共鑽遇油氣層100.6米,完鑽井深3,462米。經測試,該井平均日產原油約7,680桶,天然氣約0.52百萬立方英尺。通過持續勘探,實現開平南油田探明地質儲量1.02億噸油當量。
【升股千二隻 手機股彈高】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為29比14(上日為15比27),上升股份1,226隻(升幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日60隻股份上升,19隻股份下跌,升跌比率為73比23(上日為29比65);大市今日錄沽空131.24億元,佔可沽空股份成交額756.5億元的17.348%(上日為17.496%)。
手機部件股抽上,丘鈦(01478.HK)及瑞聲(02018.HK)全日各升6.8%及8.3%,舜宇(02382.HK)揚3.3%,比亞迪電子(00285.HK)彈高3.8%。麥格理發表報告指出,舜宇由年初至今股價累跌32%,相對於同期恆指累跌4.8%,主要由於1月份中國智能手機銷售按年跌幅達雙位數,以及公司發布去年盈警拖累。該行認為,基於產品均價、毛利復甦及競爭的不確定性,投資者對舜宇的前景持謹慎態度。
該行認為,IDC數據顯示Android高端化趨勢正在顯現,1月份內地高端智能手機出貨量按年增長1.8倍。媒體報道亦顯示內地2月份智能手機銷量按年增長雙位數。在經過兩年的去規格化,高階手機的相機升級已恢復,推動供應鏈的結構性產品均價及毛利復甦。在高端市場方面,大立光今年首兩月銷量按年增長35%,證實升級趨勢。低端市場方面,瑞聲科技由於產品均價提高,去年第四季毛利率轉正,反映競爭有所緩和。該行預計舜宇的產品均價及毛利也將恢復。
該行預期舜宇今年手機鏡頭出貨量增長10%,手機相機模組增長10%,車載鏡頭增長15%至20%。另估計公司可受惠手機鏡頭升級周期,料今明兩年盈利複合增長率74%。予以「跑贏大市」評級,目標價維持80.1元。
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