日股盤中再創新高!貝萊德繼續唱多
繼昨日創下新高後,今日開盤,日股繼續上衝,隨後回落。
其中,日經225指數一度升0.46%,報39426.29點,再刷新歷史新高,現已轉跌0.15%。

東征指數也衝高回落,一度升0.7%,最高報2692.3點,現回落至0.34%。
仍有上升空間?
由於巴菲特在最新股東信中表示看好日本商社股,無限期保持對其投資,日本股市昨日大升。
同時,貝萊德投資研究所的策略師表示,日本股市上升仍有空間,強勁的盈利和企業改革將刺激進一步上升。
以Jean Boivin和Wei Li領導的團隊在每週市場評論中寫道:“我們認為宏觀前景和公司層面的發展都將推動下一階段的發展”,他們還重申了對日本股市的增持建議。
報吿稱,日本股市可能“創下歷史新高”。日經225指數自上週突破歷史高點以來持續上升,更廣泛的東證指數已接近其歷史紀錄。以美元計價來看,日本股市的表現優於大多數主要股市。
貝萊德表示,儘管日元疲軟提振了企業在海外的盈利價值,但市場前景仍然樂觀,因為通脹的上升讓企業能夠提高價格並保護利潤,同時,工資增長刺激了消費者支出。
此外,貝萊德認為,公司治理改革也是股市上升的“關鍵驅動力”,東京證券交易所推動企業提高盈利能力,並向股東回饋資金。
貝萊德預計,日本央行將謹慎地逐步退出超寬鬆貨幣政策。
在日股上升的同時,外資投行紛紛上調對其點位的預測。據36氪報道,花旗集團對年終日經指數的點位預測已升至45000點。
野村證券也將該預測從38000點上調至40000點。由於日本央行已明確不會尋求快速加息,野村認為該指數甚至可能會上升至43000點。
市場加大對結束負利率的押注
今日,日本CPI公佈,通脹數據強於預期,引發市場對日本央行結束負利率的押注。
受此影響,日本兩年期國債收益率大升3%,攀升至2011年以來的最高水平。

掉期數據數據顯示,交易員將日本央行4月退出負利率政策的可能性從週一的78%提高至81%左右。同時,市場押注日本央行肯定會在6月前退出負利率政策。
上週,日本央行行長植田和男曾表示,良性的經濟循環將會加強,指的是通脹上升,伴隨着工資和就業的上升,這是政策正常化即將到來的另一個信號。
本週四,日本財務省將拍賣2.9萬億日元的2026年3月新票據,投資者對日本短期債券的興趣將受到考驗。
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