《即日市評》恆指五連跌 科指創13個月低 美團挫半成
受科網股拖累下,恆指今日持續向下。美國上週五晚公佈去年12月非農業就業人數增21.6萬人遠勝於預期,反映經濟表現仍好,但同時令市場對聯儲局減息預期降低,美股道指及納指上週五各升0.07%及0.09%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.057釐,美匯指數處於102.51,道指期貨最新跌108點或0.29%,納指期貨最新跌0.12%。北京法院受理中植集團破產清算申請,上證綜指全日跌41點或1.42%收2,887點,深證成指跌1.9%,而滬深兩市成交額共6,576億人民幣。
恆指高開46點後下跌,曾跌390點一度低見16,144點,全日跌310點或1.9%,收16,224點,連跌五個交易日(累跌822點或4.8%);國指全日跌126點或2.3%,收5,480點;恆生科技指數跌107點或3%,收3,484點,創逾13個月低位。大市全日成交總額844.42億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入5.58億及淨流出3.85億元人民幣。匯控(00005.HK)獲券商唱好,全日股價逆市升近0.5%收62.65元。
【恆指五連跌 美團挫半成】
科網股造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)下滑1.4%收288元,阿里(09988.HK)跌1.8%,美團(03690.HK)走低4.9%收73.95元。內媒引述消息報道,美團高級副總裁、到店事業羣總裁張川日前發佈內部公開信,提及互聯網進入存量用戶競爭的階段,因爲不像外賣那樣有配送的護城河,所以新手進軍生活服務都是從到店開始。他斷定2024年是解決問題的好機會,關鍵在於能不能建設「天天低價」的新飛輪,實現到店的雙飛輪。另指公司需要儘快調整和完善,形成新的產品能力、供給能力、組織能力和營銷能力,這些都要求管理層和後線到一線去。
此外,麥格理髮表報告指出,儘管穩健的毛利對於內地互聯網行業仍然至關重要,但隨着投資者關注成本優化之外的財務可持續性,該行認爲市場份額提升及公司穩健增長,可能再次成爲推動業績的主要參數。該行建議在宏觀不確定性下,重點關注今年內地互聯網行業市佔率領先的企業,當中首選拼多多、騰訊、攜程(TCOM.US)及中通快遞(ZTO.US)。
【跌股千四隻 中升有沽壓】
港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲10比33(上日15爲比26),下跌1,402只(跌幅3%),恆指成份股今日3只股份上升,下跌股份77只,升跌比率爲4比94(上日爲30比67);大市今日錄沽空162.67億元,佔可沽空股份成交額690.8億元的23.548%(上日爲21.936%)。
市場繼續關注車市競爭,車股小鵬(09868.HK)及零跑(09863.HK)挫7.8%及7.2%。信義玻璃(00868.HK)下滑7.6%,中升(00881.HK)挫6.2%收15.38元。摩根士丹利發表報告指,中升去年底月均二手汽車銷量升至2萬輛,管理層亦維持今年二手汽車銷售目標逾2.4萬輛。根據管理層早前指引,相反地,去年下半年新汽車銷量持平或按年稍微下跌,新車折扣亦按年及按半年擴大。經銷商可以從寶馬和奔馳等主要整車廠獲取回扣,但時間和金額尚未確定。
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