歐冠昇:「增長對角線」為全球增長開闢新路徑 中國和中東資本池有巨大潛力
港交所(00388.HK)集團行政總裁歐冠昇(Nicolas Aguzin)發表網誌,指全球經濟前景仍然一片光明。他看到了新的機遇、看到了邁向繁榮的新路徑,並稱之為「增長對角線」(diagonal of growth)。
他提到,從過去數十年到今天,東西方國家對世界經濟增長的貢獻比例正在發生轉變。「全球南方」(Global South)的世界影響力日益增強已經成為一個熱點話題。業界普遍認為,未來世界經濟發展的重心將逐漸從西方轉移到東方。從金融市場的角度來看,這種格局轉變帶來的影響是深遠的。如果將中國和中東資本池的力量相結合,有巨大潛力推動全球下一階段增長。
他表示,中東地區經濟正朝著多元化發展,中東地區不但富有石油和天然氣能源,也擁有豐富的可再生能源資源,包括太陽能和氫能等。在東南亞地區和中國,中產階級正快速崛起。生物科技、人工智能及新能源等領域也誕生了許多備受矚目的創新技術。例如,東南亞地區有50多間獨角獸公司,還有許多「準獨角獸」(soonicorns)公司。
作為金融市場運營者,如果能夠運用專業知識,支持推動非洲、南美洲、中東、印度、東南亞和中國發展,將人均國內生產總值從平均約7,500美元逐步提升至歐洲的41,000美元甚至是美國的80,000美元,這將對世界經濟帶來巨大影響,顯著提高無數人的生活水平,迎來全球新的繁榮。但要實現這一願景,「增長對角線」上的各個地區需要聯通,將資本與機遇連接起來。
他提到,香港可以發揮所長,連接這些地區的資本與機遇。作為國際金融中心和全球超級聯繫人,香港在促進全球資本流動、推動世界經濟增長方面舉足輕重,並為全球投資者及發行人提供熟悉且備受信賴的金融環境,多元化和充滿活力的市場。他指,期待明天將在香港舉辦的FII Priority亞洲峰會,希望香港利用國際金融中心的優勢,進一步助力「增長對角線」發展。
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