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瑞銀:如20世紀90年代般經濟繁榮即將到來
阿思達克 11-14 01:55
瑞銀全球財富部表示,未來10年看起來像是20世紀90年代、沒有衰退的繁榮經濟。 瑞銀稱,仍然認為蓬勃發展的1920年代符合該行的牛市情景,但認為20世紀90年代可能為今天提供更好的例子,美聯儲加息周期最終結束,並實施適度減息,經濟出現復甦及軟著陸。 瑞銀續指,目前的加息周期讓人回想起1994年,當時聯儲局在一年內加息300個點子至6厘,隨後經濟在1995年實現軟著陸,允許聯儲局小幅減息,預計兩者均會在2024年實現,直到那時,20世紀90年代式的經濟增長加快、生產力提高和反通貨膨脹之下的繁榮才開始興起。
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