高盛料今年餘下時間鐵礦石或出現短缺
高盛發表報告,稱由於庫存低企及產量下降,鐵礦石市場預計在今年剩餘時間將出現短缺,對今年全球鐵礦石供應預測已從15.57億噸削減至15.36億噸,因第三季澳洲及巴西供應表現欠佳;同時目前中國的鐵礦石庫存較低,加上在農曆新年前鋼廠可能重新進貨,供應鏈庫存低企亦難以抵禦供應中斷的風險。短期出現缺口的風險傾向上行。
高盛將全年62%鐵品位的鐵礦石平均價格預測由每噸101美元上調至117美元,明年價格將從每噸90美元上調至110美元。
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