耀才:交易成本高企 兩成半受訪散戶估恆指第四季平均跌穿16,000點
耀才證券(01428.HK)發表第四季股市民意調查結果,訪問的近8,000名用戶中,有超過一半仍看好後市,預料恆指今年結算會於18,000點至22,000點區間上落,預測平均達到18,000、20,000及22,000點或以上分別有29.1%、36.6%及9.8%,另有24.5%受訪用戶認為第四季恆指平均會跌穿16,000點以下。
耀才認為,投資者對港股市場悲觀情緒未減退,主要受制於高息環境下交易成本高企、內房債務危機等,並正在觀望內地當局會否出台更多支持政策,以及本港新一份施政報告的內容。當中,有15%受訪者期望港府會削減股票印花稅及為樓市撤辣。
耀才證券執行董事兼行政總裁許繹彬表示,散戶最有興趣的投資產品種類依然是港股,佔比為27.8%,但由於港股交投淡靜,環球股市、香港期貨及環球期貨佔比均有所上升,分別達到25.1%及15.9%,其中期指產品佔比較上次調查翻倍。他期望港交所(00388.HK)可加快落實「打風不停市」措施,從而提升港股市場競爭力。
調查亦發現,散戶仍鍾情科技股,近18.5%受訪者看好科技板塊,認為騰訊(00700.HK)、阿里(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)等龍頭估值吸引,其次看好能源電力(15.5%)及公用收息股(11.8%)。
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