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《即日市評》美元美債息攀升 恆指急吐 內銀內險股捱沽
美國指標十年期債息昨晚(2日)曾升破4.7厘創十六年新高,美匯指數升破107,港股今日(3日)在中秋及國慶長周末後復市向下。美國國會通過臨時撥款法案避免政府停擺,市場關注聯儲局會否更長時間維持高利率,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.2%及升0.7%。撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處4.677厘,美匯指數升至107.01,美元兌日圓逼近150關口,道指期貨最新升45點或0.13%,納指期貨最新升0.14%。國慶長假期下,內地A股由上周五(9月29日)起直至10月6日(本周五)休市,將於10月9日復市。 財新中國9月製造業PMI回落至50.6遜預期,財新中國9月服務業PMI降至50.2再創年內新。恆指低開263點後跌幅擴大,曾跌596點見17,212點,全日跌478點或2.7%,收17,331點;國指跌199點或3.2%,收5,949點;恆生科技指數跌103點或2.6%,收3,817點。大市全日成交總額861.21億元,滬、深港通南下交易暫停,下周一(9日)恢復。 盈富基金(02800.HK)全日跌2.7%,成交錄125.63億元,華夏恆ESG(03403.HK)全日跌逾2.8%成交額69億元。港交所(00388.HK)跌2.3%,而友邦(01299.HK)逆市揚0.9%。新世界發展(00017.HK)公布全年度業績後,全日股價走低5.2%。 【跌股千四隻 內銀股受壓】 科網股走疲,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價下滑1.8%收300.6元,阿里-SW(09988.HK)走低2.9%收83.1元,美團-W(03690.HK)走低4%收110元。中資銀行股受壓,工行(01398.HK)下滑4.8%,建行(00939.HK)及招行(03968.HK)各跌4.1%及4.6%。此外,中國平安(02318.HK)跌近4.8%,國壽(02628.HK)下滑4.4%。 匯控(00005.HK)股價曾跌至59.95元,全日跌近1.3%收60.9元。摩根士丹利發表技術意見報告,預計匯控未來30天股價將跑贏行業,發生機率70%至80%。目標價72.2元,評級「增持」。該行預計,匯控將於本月30日公布的第三財季業績將保持穩健,收入按季保持穩定,信貸成本將得到控制,但對中國商業房地產可能會產生額外撥備。同時預計匯控將繼續實施股票回購計劃。 【跌股千四隻 內房股下滑】 港股主板今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為8比35(上日29比13),下跌股份1,492隻(跌幅3.6%);恆指成份股今日1隻股份上升,79隻股份下跌,升跌比率為1比99(上日為90為9);大市今日錄沽空152.78億元,佔可沽空股份成交額756.89億元的20.185%(上日19.634%)。 內房股下滑,融創中國(01918.HK)跌6.9%,龍湖(00960.HK)、遠洋(03377.HK)及世茂(00813.HK)各跌6.5%至6.7%,碧桂園(02007.HK)跌4.4%。恆大(03333.HK)及恆大物業(06666.HK)復牌,恆大炒高28.1%,恆大物業倒跌3.4%。 花旗指,據克而瑞數據,內地35間上市內房商9月份銷售2,950億元人民幣,少過市場預期,亦低於上半年每月平均銷售3,770億元人民幣,部分是因為各地的放寬措施大多於9月中才公布。雖然銷售數字按月上升21%,但按年仍跌26%,首九個月按年則跌12%。 該行指,內房政策重點輕微轉向容許某程度的價格彈性,藉此推動成交。與2014年10月至2015年12月的政策放寬周期比較,今輪二線城市政策放寬較快及更廣泛,部分買家等待再有新措施,例如下調按揭利率下限、放寬一線城市郊區限購等,9月銷售只有輕微增長,需要繼續評估,直至11月份才可真正反映政策成效。
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