美銀美林:高利率維持增經濟衰退風險 投資者去年底起拋售股票
美國銀行全球策略師Michael Hartnett等表示,截至周三的一星期,全球股票基金每周流出169億美元,是自去年12月以來最快的單周流出量,主要是投資者擔心利率將在更長時間內維持在較高水平,令經濟和風險資產的前景變得黯淡。
以Michael Hartnett為首的策略師團隊在每周報告中稱,美聯儲維持高利率的預期,將導致美國明年上半年經濟硬著陸的風險增加。
Michael Hartnett表示,截至9月20日一星期,投資者購買25億美元美國國債,是連續32周資金流入。
美國銀行策略師亦稱,今年夏天稍早時股市上升的領頭羊,例如「七大科技股」、半導體相關股票和建築商股票,均已反彈至接近2021年高位,當時市場樂觀認為利率已見頂,但債券收益率下降,而美國建築商和晶片製造商再次反彈,標準普爾500指數即有望上升。
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