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《即日市評》恆指續跌 內房股波動 遠洋急吐逾18%
市場觀望美國今晚公布8月通脹數據,以評估美聯儲局未來息口走向,港股今日窄幅上落。期油價格升至十個月高位,投資者憂慮油價上升帶動通脹,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.05%%及1%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.304厘,美匯指數處104.74,道指期貨最新跌41點或0.12%,納指期貨最新跌0.06%。上證綜指今日跌13點或0.5%收3,123點,深證成指跌1.1%,內地創業板指數跌1.1%(創逾三年新低),而滬深兩市成交額共6,982億人民幣。 恆指高開105點,初段曾升174點見18,200點,其後回落,全日跌16點或0.09%,收18,009點;國指跌24點或0.4%,收6,235點;恆生科技指數跌22點或0.6%,收4,041點。大市全日成交總額降至798.59億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出1.21億及淨流入2.14億元人民幣。 科網股偏軟,騰訊(00700.HK)全日下滑0.6%收320.2元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)各走低0.9%及1.4%。友邦(01299.HK)股價逆市上揚0.8%。 【內房股波動 遠洋呈急回】 內房股反覆波動,部份民營內房股炒上,寶龍地產(01238.HK)全日股價一度抽升48.3%曾高見1.72元,全日升6%收1.23元,富力(02777.HK)盤中曾升46.8%一度高見2.26元,全日升8.4%收1.67元;融創中國(01918.HK)全日漲3.9%,但昨日股價飆升逾82%的遠洋集團(03377.HK)今日急回18%收0.68元。 摩根大通發表內房行業報告,內房股過去一周仍跑贏國企指數,相信主因是陷入困境的公司融創中國股價走強,但該行認為走勢是不可持續的,因認為相關公司基本面並無根本性改善,指融創中國目前估值已達預測市賬率0.4倍,幾乎與國企內房股估值水平相近,並認為此情況並不合理的。該行在寬鬆政策後的短期反彈之後,料該行業可能會回落,至今為止相關銷售數據無法讓投資者相信正在顯著復甦。 【跌股一千隻 舜宇逆市揚】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比26(上日16比24),下跌股份1,081隻(跌幅2.5%);恆指成份股今日33隻股份上升,下跌股份41隻,升跌比率為41比50(上日為33為64);大市今日錄沽空133.2億元,佔可沽空股份成交671.45額億元的19.838%(上日22.402%)。 國藥(01099.HK)全日下滑3.6%,為跌幅最大藍籌股。匯豐研究發表報告指,中國藥物分銷行業上半年業績大致符合該行預期,但股價跑輸大市,主要反映第二季增長放緩,以及政策前景不確定。因應上半年業績、匯兌因素及藥店流量回升,該行將五隻覆蓋股份,在今年至2025年三年期間的每股盈利預測,下調1至7%,目標價下調6至32%,該行維持國藥「持有」評級,目標價由25元下調至23.19元。 舜宇(02382.HK)全日上揚近3.1%收61.85元。中金指,舜宇8月手機攝像模組出貨5,296.3萬片,按月下降2.9%,按年增長36.8%;手機鏡頭出貨1.08億片,按月增長13.2%,按年增長17%。該行認為安卓手機大盤拉貨動能已逐步企穩,並進入第三季拉貨旺季;8月手機鏡頭按月增速優於手機模組產品,反映北美大客戶已開啟傳統新機備貨周期。中金判斷手機產業鏈底部信號已基本顯現,建議投資者密切關注下半年蘋果及安卓新機的銷售情況。
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