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一文綜合券商於工行(01398.HK)公佈業績後最新目標價及觀點
人民與國家金融監督管理總局近日發通知決定調整優化差別化住房信貸政策,多間內銀指將依法有序開展首套房貸利率調整準備工作。工商銀行(01398.HK)今早股價向上,盤中曾高見3.77元一度揚4.7%,半日收3.75元升4.2%。 工行上週三(8月30日)公佈今年中期業績,營業額按年跌3.4%至4,289.06億元人民幣。純利按年升1.2%至1,737.44億元人民幣;每股盈利48分人民幣。期內營業利潤按年跌3.1%至2,012.72億元人民幣。稅前利潤跌3%至2,036.55億元人民幣。利息淨收入按年跌3.9%至3,369.87億元人民幣;非利息收入按年跌1.7%至919.19億元人民幣。手續費及傭金淨收入按年跌3.4%至734.65億元人民幣,年化平均總資產回報率0.84%,年化加權平均權益回報率10.51%。年化淨利息差和淨利息收益率分別爲1.52%和1.72%,按年分別下降33點子和31點子。 工行上半年計提資產減值損失下降8.7%至1,222.55億元人民幣。6月底該行貸款減值準備餘額7,511.96億元人民幣。撥備覆蓋率218.62%,比去年底上升9.15個百分點;貸款撥備率2.97%,比去年底上升0.07個百分點。不良貸款率爲1.36%,比去年底下降0.02個百分點。此外,房地產業的不良貸款512.26億元人民;月1,不良貸款率6.68%。於6月底,工行核心一級資本充足率爲13.2%,較去年底下跌0.84個百分點;一級資本充足率由15.64%降至14.67%。 【淨息差受壓 資本比率強】 高盛指工行次季業績,淨息差較預期弱,涉及發展商的貸款及不良貸款增加,以及按揭餘額下跌速度與行業同步,但消費及個人業務貸款增長推高零售資產負債表增長。該行預期投資者集中關注工行在存款高企及更多定存增長下改善淨息差,非物業類零售貸款的定價與資產質素,以及物業貸款風險,基於撥備增加。該行給予工行「沽售」評級及3.48元目標價。 匯豐環球研究指,工行中期業績爲輕微負面,撥備前經營溢利增長慢於同業,且次季淨息差收縮亦大於同業。正面因素方面,貨款損失撥備比率上升,資本比率亦維持領先同業。該行維持對工行「買入」評級及5.2元目標價。 ------------------------------------------------- 本網最新綜合13間券商對其投資評級及目標價: 券商│投資評級│目標價(港元) 中銀國際│買入│6.35元->6.14元 花旗│買入│5.97元 匯豐環球研究│買入│5.2元 廣發證券│買入│5.19元 野村│買入│4.9元 中金│跑贏行業│4.85元 美銀證券│買入│5.37元->4.8元 華泰證券│買入│4.77元 摩根大通│增持│4.7元 中信證券│增持│4.5元 瑞銀│中性│4.45元 海通國際│中性│4.34元->4.35元 高盛│沽售│3.48元 券商│觀點 中銀國際│次季盈利增長輕微加速 花旗│次季淨息差及費用收入受壓,資產負債錶快速擴大爲亮點 匯豐環球研究│中期業績輕微負面 廣發證券│歸母淨利潤保持正增長 野村│次季業績遜預期,受疲弱淨息差及費用收入影響 中金│信貸投放助力穩增長 美銀證券│中期業績符預期,維持正面盈利增長 華泰證券│經營行穩致遠,資產質量向好 摩根大通│次季盈利增長符預期,資產質素及資本仍然強勁 中信證券│經營穩中提質,質量優中有進 瑞銀│次季淨利潤及撥備前經營溢利動力略改善 海通國際│資產質素改善,淨息差受壓 高盛│次季淨利息收入及費用收入疲弱
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