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《大行報告》瑞銀上調阿里(09988.HK)目標價至118元 評級「買入」
瑞銀發表研究報告指,在宏觀經濟復甦、淘寶新戰略及國際電商本地化發展的推動下,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)(BABA.US)2024財年首季收入增長重拾雙位數升幅,是自2022年第二財季以來首次,亦是2021年第四財季以來最大幅度超出預期,相信未來收入增幅可保持在雙位數水平,將目標價升至118元,維持「買入」評級。 瑞銀將阿里2024至2025財年收入預測分別上調1%及0.9%,以反映淘寶天貓、國際電商增長強勁,以及菜鳥物流量向好,盈利預測在利潤率前景推動下,分別上調7.5%及7.4%;2026財年每股盈測則上調9%。 瑞銀將截至9月底止第二財季收入及經調整EBITA預測分別上調1.2%和12.9%,估計核心中國零售商業客戶管理收入(CMR)將達到721億元人民幣,淘寶天貓集團經調整EBITA則預期按年增長8.5%。
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