《即日市評》恆指靠穩 成交不足800億 小鵬蔚來彈高
市場觀望美聯儲局主席鮑威爾今晚將出席歐洲央行論壇所發表的講話、美國總統拜登將發表演說闡述「拜登經濟學」,恆指今日反覆上落。美國6月消費者信心指數升至一年半新高,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.6%及1.7%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.747厘,美匯指數升至102.59,道指期貨最新跌14點或0.04%,納指期貨最新跌0.55%。中國5月規模以上工業企業利潤按年跌12.6%,上證綜指今日微跌0.07點收3,189點,深證成指跌0.47%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,880億人民幣人民幣。
港股今日反覆靠穩,恆指低開48點,初段曾跌128點一度低見19,019點,其後曾倒升74點見19,222點,全日升23點或0.12%,收報19,172點;國指升16點或0.26%,收報6,521點;恆生科技指數升29點或0.75%,收報4,001點。大市全日成交總額按日跌逾13%至793.18億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入38.96億及43.72億元人民幣。
【恆指呈反覆 成交額縮減】
科技股個別發展,阿里(09988.HK)跌1.3%報84.35元,騰訊(00700.HK)跌1.5%報336.2元,美團(03690.HK)升0.7%。中興通訊(00763.HK)股價下挫近6%收29.2元,花旗發表報告指,在中國經濟疲軟、美元兌人民幣匯價走強以及中美關係緊張的情況下,今年下半年主要指數預料仍會延續上半年區間波動狀態。考慮到企業每股盈利增幅或從今年的21.1%,收窄至明年的9.8%,該行相應將恆指今年底及明年上半年目標分別下調至22,000點及23,000點。
花旗預期股市潛在催化劑可能來自中國政府出台支持性政策、中美兩國達成正面對話,以及部分行業出現利潤率擴張。花旗更看好A股而非H股,建議增持消費、互聯網、交通和科技板塊。
【沽空率攀升 小鵬蔚來彈】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為20比19(上日28比13),恆指成份股今日52隻股份上升,下跌股份25隻,升跌比率為65比31(上日為89比10);大市今日錄沽空142.79億元,佔可沽空股份成交額666.72億元的21.416%(上日為18.074%)。
汽車股走個別,比亞迪(01211.HK)及吉利(00175.HK)股價各跌0.2%及0.3%,「蔚小理」造好,理想汽車(02015.HK)股價漲2.8%,小鵬汽車(09868.HK)彈高近11.2%收44.75元,蔚來(09866.HK)則搶高7.2%。
匯豐環球研究發表告指,理想汽車6月份銷量及預售訂單量仍然強勁,帶動股價跑贏大市,預期在定價壓力下,公司銷量增長勢頭將持續到第二季之後,並預期在產品週期加快及強大的營銷能力下,明年銷量可進一步上升。
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