《大行報告》花旗料本港樓價復甦勢頭已完結 次季至末季間料跌7% 首選領展(00823.HK)及九置(01997.HK)
花旗發表研究報告指,本港住宅成交量自3月起一直走弱,該行對這一輪樓價復甦短暫感到相當意外。報告指,每周二手交易量已連續兩個月處於低位,這應是香港房價復甦勢頭完結並可能重回下跌趨勢的跡象。該行預計,今年整體樓價將會持平,意味著今年第二季至第四季的房價將下跌約7%。該行目前看好的優先順序是零售物業、住宅、寫字樓,首選領展(00823.HK)及九置(01997.HK)。
該行預計,此輪下調趨勢將持續到本年底,因為一旦美國在明年上半年起下調聯邦基金利率,加上明年「小陽春」開始,相信在農曆新年樓價將再有另一輪反彈。
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