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港元市場突然緊張,一大傳聞挑動敏感神經?

港元市場最近不平靜。5月11日,隔夜香港銀行同業拆息利率(HIBOR)上升36.8基點,至4.80607%,創下2007年以來的最高水平。那麼,究竟是什麼原因導致港元市場掀起大波瀾?據市場傳聞,兩家發鈔行近日向同業拆借大額短期港元,11日再傳出,事緣是有基金擬搬總部到新加坡,有資金轉往一家本地有網點的新資銀行,匯款需要一定時間,令兩家發鈔行近日要向同業借錢,致港匯緊張。

一大傳聞引發港元緊張

港元市場近期也突然巨震。5月11日,隔夜香港銀行同業拆息利率(HIBOR)上升36.8基點,至4.80607%,創下2007年以來的最高水平。而一個月港元拆息也連升16日,當天上漲37.19基點,至4.52952%。港元兌美元連續飆升兩天之後,再度轉跌。

那麼,究竟又發生了什麼事使港元突然緊張?

據香港經濟日報消息,市場傳聞稱,兩家發鈔行近日向同業拆借大額短期港元。11日再傳出,事緣是有基金擬搬總部到新加坡,有資金轉往一家本地有網點的新資銀行,匯款需要一定時間,令兩家發鈔行近日要向同業借錢,致港匯緊張而轉強。傳聞稱金管局已致電上述新加坡的有關銀行了解。

金管局方面表示,港元拆息亦受市場港元資金供求影響。港元市場保持運作暢順,該局通過日常的市場監察工作,並未發現有異常的活動,香港銀行體系存款總額保持平穩,5月份數據將一如既往於6月底公佈。發言人稱,在聯匯制度下,港元拆息趨近美元拆息,亦會受市場港元資金供求的影響,隨着較早前有資金流出港元體系觸發弱方兌換保證,銀行體系總結餘相應回落至目前440多億港元水平,聯匯制度下的利率自動調節機制發揮作用,港元拆息逐步向上,港元匯率亦稍走強,穩定於兌換區間之內。此調節過程完全符合聯匯制度設計及預期。

$大新銀行集團(02356.HK)$總經理兼零售銀行處副主管鄧子健表示,近日銀行結存或較之前少了一些,令波動性增加而致拆息上升,不知是否會再有短暫性的大幅波動。他指出,整體港元拆息近日轉強,可能是資金需求所帶動,或者可能有融資計劃,如果港元拆息持續再升,私人貸款市場資金成本料增加,私貸市場無可避免要加息。

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