中金公司A股突然漲停,港股大漲超6%,發生了什麼?
近期金融股集體走高,昨日銀行股大漲,今日券商股也跟漲,其中,中金公司A股漲停,H股漲6.3%,光大證券、中信建投證券、中國銀河、中信證券均漲超4%。
對於銀行股的大漲,市場早有預期。睿郡資產合夥人董承非在5月7日表示,在經濟復甦不強勁情況下,原來看不起的那些低增速的企業,現在反而顯得難能可貴,因此被忽略高分紅、深度價值的企業反而受到追捧。
“這很明顯,證券板塊漲的不是牛市預期,而是‘中特估’。大部分上市券商都是國企,而本次領漲的中國銀河則是央企,它的實控人是中央匯金。本身屬於央企的券商就沒幾個,且中國銀河的股息率比較高,是個‘中特估’不錯的投資標的。”有私募人士稱。
昨日還有一則小作文刷屏網絡,一則無頭無尾的所謂指導意見,要求“國企要做到1倍PB以上”,捕風捉影,卻獲得極大的傳播。
據財經雜誌數據,券商業績在一季度止滑,從歸母淨利潤來看,今年一季度位列前十的券商是中信證券(54.17億元)、華泰證券(32.45億元)、國泰君安(30.41億元)、海通證券(24.34億元)、中信建投(24.33億元)、招商證券(22.60億元)、中金公司(22.57億元)、中國銀河(22.49億元)、廣發證券(21.57億元)、東方財富(20.29億元)。其中,中信證券以54.17億元遙居榜首,領先排名第二位的華泰證券21.72億元。
對於中金公司,西部證券表示,全面註冊制背景下市場擴容,公司投行地位有望進一步鞏固;年內配股資金到位後以及市場若回暖,將驅動客需型業務重拾升勢,看好公司在衍生品領域佈局。我們預測公司23-25 年歸母淨利潤增速+40.1%/+23.4%/+18.2%。當前股價對應23 年2.21xPB,維持“買入”評級。
其實除了一季度業績大幅增長,受益於全面註冊制和中特估行情催化,中金公司A股漲停背後流通盤極小,雖然A股有48.27億股總股本,但流通股份只有9.3億股,流通的盤子不足450億,這也是資金很容易拉到漲停的原因。
不過,就在近期,中金公司遭第三大股東海爾金控減持,根據公告,海爾金控計劃減持不超過9654.51萬股,佔不超過公司總股本的2%。
公告顯示,目前海爾金控對中金公司的持股比例爲6.32%,是僅次於中央匯金投資有限責任公司(下稱“中央匯金”)和香港中央結算(代理人)有限公司的第三大股東。
本次減持後,海爾金控的持股比例或將降至5%以下。澎湃新聞記者測算顯示,按年初至今截至5月8日的中金公司A股均價40.90元/股估算,本次減持海爾金控或可套現近40億元。
去年已減持套現36.85億元對於本次減持的原因,公告稱,因海爾金控根據自身發展需要,擬減持部分所持中金公司A股股份。
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