“至暗時刻”或已過去
在英特爾(INTC.US)公佈第一季度業績之後,一些華爾街分析師在這家半導體巨頭髮出最糟糕的情況可能已經過去的信號的情況下上調了對該公司的股票評級。
財報顯示,英特爾Q1總營收同比下降36%、環比下降16%至117億美元,儘管高於分析師預期的111億美元,但仍接近2010年以來低位。調整後的每股虧損爲4美分,好於市場預期的每股虧損16美分。淨虧損爲28億美元,上年同期爲盈利81億美元。在PC個人電腦市場持續低迷、芯片市場競爭激烈的大背景下,英特爾創其歷史上最大的季度虧損,超越2017年四季度的虧損紀錄6.87億美元,不僅是至少三十年來首次連續兩個季度虧損,也是2009年以來首次公佈調整後的季度虧損,且連續第五個季度銷售額下降。
不過,英特爾預計,第二季度調整後營收爲115億至125億美元,符合分析師預期的117.5億美元;預計第二季度調整後每股虧損爲4美分,超過分析師預期的虧損2美分,或連續三個季度虧損。該公司CEO重申裁員並尋求其他成本縮減措施,今年將削減30億美元;CFO表示,預計下半年毛利率將達到40%區間。
Benchmark分析師Cody Acree將其對英特爾的評級從“持有”上調至“買入”,目標價爲39美元。他指出,英特爾對下一季度的預期,包括個人電腦和服務器市場的庫存持續消化、以及數據中心業務的進一步虧損,所有這些都反映了“最壞的情況”。分析師表示:“我們認爲,考慮到當前的宏觀經濟環境,該公司的業績和前景現在反映了最壞的情況。因此,我們認爲開始對英特爾的股票採取更積極的立場是謹慎的。”
Wedbush分析師Matthew Bryson也將其對英特爾的評級從“跑輸大盤”上調至“中性”,目標價從20美元上調至30美元,因爲他認爲該公司的季度業績已經觸底。分析師表示:“我們很難看到英特爾的銷售額從第一季度和第二季度的水平繼續下降,因爲市場(尤其是企業)總是會反彈,在我們看來,至少是在下半年適度反彈,到2024年將會有更明顯的回升。此外,分析師表示,市場需求改善和庫存下降也將給該公司帶來更高的毛利率和現金流。
花旗分析師Christopher Danely則重申其對英特爾的“中性”評級。分析師指出,該公司的市場份額正在繼續輸給AMD,但個人電腦市場似乎正在企穩。分析師表示:“雖然我們預計數據中心終端市場將在某個時候反彈,但它將繼續拖累英特爾的每股收益。此外,該公司繼續在我們認爲可能難以取得成功的市場中追求增長,例如代工。”
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