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摩根大通:抑制通脹是美聯儲首要任務 市場的降息預期太過激進
格隆匯 04-24 10:30
格隆匯4月24日丨摩根大通資產管理部門發佈報吿表示,儘管面臨衰退威脅,美聯儲的首要任務仍是抑制通脹。美聯儲對於利率的長期目標為2.5%,截至一季度,市場對於利率的預期始終低於美聯儲的預期,但差距縮小;食品、能源和核心商品的價格已趨於平衡,將減少對通脹壓力的貢獻。住房成本也已開始見頂,但仍需時日才能在價格指數中明確反映其全部影響。最近銀行業出現的問題可能會改變美聯儲對緊縮採取更加平衡的態度,尤其是商業銀行在放貸方面變得更加謹慎。摩根大通認為美聯儲更接近加息週期的終點。儘管銀行業危機四伏,但市場對今年年底前激進降息的預期可能為時過早。

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