植耀輝:美股續觀望季績 港股維持窄幅上落
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上周五(14日)走勢偏軟,三月零售銷售數據遜預期,加上聯儲局官員續放鷹,以及波音(BA.US)股價大跌,均對市況不利。不過金融股業績表現理想,限制美股跌勢,最終三大指數均下跌,跌幅介乎0.21%至0.42%,不過全周計,三大指數仍能錄得升幅,當中道指累升1.2%,連升第四周,標普則累升0.8%,納指則累升0.3%。本周繼續有多間大型企業公布季績,預期將繼續成為大市焦點。
港股方面,繼續維持窄幅上落格局,上周五全日波幅不足200點,即使全周計波幅亦不足865點。內地本周將陸續公布一系列經濟數據,當中便包括首季GDP、3月零售銷售以及工業生產等,表現對港股與A股或多或少會帶來一定啟示。但正如筆者近月所指,恆指雖可企穩250天線,但始終一日未能突破250月線(21,000點附近),預期短期將繼續於區間上落。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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零售數據差美股挫 港股20,700點阻力不輕
耀才研究部稱,美股上月零售銷售數據差於預期,美股上周五(14日)三大指數反覆偏軟,當中以道指跌幅較大,下跌0.4%,不過全周計,道指仍能連升第四周。本周續有多間大型企業公布季績,當中便包括高盛(GS.US)、Tesla(TSLA.US)及Netflix(NFLX.US)等。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數則下跌近1%。
港股方面,上周五輾轉回升94點,芯片股表現搶鏡,不過濠賭股及個別科技股續見沽壓。一周計,恆指累升107點或0.5%,科指則累跌近1.7%。由於恆指仍缺乏上升催化劑,故即使短期或有機會持續反彈,上升空間亦相當有限,預期前高位約20,700點附近阻力不輕。
至於技術分析方面,恆指上周五雖見反彈,並突破50天線20,379點阻力,惟陰陽燭呈十字星形態,意味後市暫仍維持待變格局,短期須企穩於該水平之上,始有望再作突破。下方支持則續留意2萬點關口。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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