銀行危機下的美股:科技巨頭成了防守首選
伴隨着美股銀行業危機持續,大型科技股重獲投資者青睞。
在過去的一週里,美股各類非銀ETF基金錶現亮眼,科技股基金(XLK)表現強勁,單週上漲6.3%。其次是通訊行業基金(XLC),公用事業基金(XLU),漲幅分別達到6.1%和4.1%。
這其中,大型科技股纔是重頭戲。SPDR重要成分股$谷歌-C(GOOG.US)$和$Meta Platforms(META.US)$,過去一週分別上漲了12.8%和10%。科技巨頭$亞馬遜(AMZN.US)$上漲10.1%,$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$上漲7.5%。
大型科技股的強勁表現與投資者預期變化息息相關。在銀行業危機爆發後,投資者熱衷於尋找有穩定業績表現的公司。與初創企業不同,像$蘋果(AAPL.US)$、$谷歌-C(GOOG.US)$和$微軟(MSFT.US)$這樣的大型科技公司擁有鉅額現金儲備,這使它們不那麼容易受到資產負債表下滑的影響。前兩者還支付股息——這在科技界曾經是個大忌,但現在卻是吸引防禦性投資者的一部分。
除此以外,大型科技公司的主營業務幾乎不會受到銀行問題的威脅。Morningstar分析師Ali Mogharabi分析認爲,美股銀行業危機不會對其覆蓋的在線媒體或廣告公司產生“任何實質性影響”。
$硅谷銀行(SIVB.US)$破產還有望穩固科技巨頭現有的行業地位。Mizuho分析師John Baumgartner表示,相當多的初創公司與SVB密切相關。除了SVB破產短期幹擾外,美國銀行業後續可能強調貸款公司需要有更強的自由現金/盈利能力,貸款標準有望進一步提升。這將進一步限制小公司獲得融資並進入行業的便利性。
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