郭思治:恆指已正式跌穿各組常用之平均移動線
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,由於瑞信(CS.US)之財困再令市場恐慌,故環球股市又再出現明顯震盪,相對而言,港股當不能獨善其身,在歐美股市急跌拖累下,港股昨亦明顯急回,而恆指亦順勢再創月內之新低,恆指昨(16日)早市先大幅低開342點至19,197點,其後再進一步跌至19,109點方漸見喘定,由於沽壓漸消,加上維穩買盤漸現,故整個大市在緩步中回升至19,388點,但在氣氛淡靜下,大市亦漸趨拉据,恆指全日報收19,203點,較上日下跌335點,全日總成交金額為1113億元。
從走勢上看,恆指於本週內已是第二次跌穿100天線(19,365點),即是說,恆指技術上已跌穿各組常用的平均移動線,另外,經過月來不斷下跌之後,10天線(19,869點)亦將跌穿250天線(19,861點),即移動線方面會再呈另一個死亡交叉,單從技術上看,在在表示大市之走勢確持續偏弱,至於本月之形態當仍屬先高而後低,恆指暫是由7日之高位21,005點跌至16日之低位19,109點,即月內之波幅已再擴闊至1,896點,在交投持續偏疏下,1,896點之波幅或已不算小,惟一個月之高低位是很少機會同時出現於8個交易日之內,故在本月餘下之交易日,大市或仍會再進一步往下尋月內之新低。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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