《即日市評》恆指反覆造好 中移動破頂升逾3%
受中移動(00941.HK)升勢支持下,恆指今日(6日)反覆造好。美國國庫債券孳息率下跌,美股道指及納指上周五各升1.2%及近2%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.928厘,美匯指數跌至104.45,道指期貨最新升32點或0.1%,納指期貨最新升0.3%。國務院總理李克強周日(5日)發表政府工作報告,將內地今年經濟增長目標定於百分之五左右,上證綜指跌6點或0.19%收3,322點,深證成指跌0.08%,滬深兩市成交額共9,509億元人民幣。
恆指今早低開129點,其後曾倒升135點一度高見20,702點,全日升35點或0.17%,收20,603點;國指跌2點或0.03%,收6,937點;恆生科技指數跌34點或0.8%,收4,177點。大市全日成交總額1,090.84億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入16.78億及23.31億元人民幣。
【恆指反覆上揚 中移動破頂升】
中移動全日股價攀升3.2%報64元,創約三年收市高;盤中曾高見64.75元。聯通(00762.HK)及中電信(00728.HK)股價各升1.8%及1.9%。國家工信部部長稱將加快6G網絡研發,中國鐵塔(00788.HK)及中通服(00552.HK)各彈高近7.9%及5.3%。
瑞銀發表報告,指過去兩周該行在內地進行推廣活動,會晤逾20名投資者。整體而言,最少在未來一至兩年,未見中資電訊股基本面改善的可持續性有重大阻礙,絕大部分投資者料中資三大電訊股純利增長勢頭可延續至今年。該行維持對板塊正面看法,首選股改為中移動H股,因風險回報更吸引。
【市寬呈現轉弱 科網股走個別】
港股主板今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為19比20(上日25為比15);恆指成份股今日48隻股份上升,下跌股份24隻,升跌比率為63比32(上日為76比24)。大市今日錄沽空180.28億元,佔可沽空股份成交額902.52億元的19.975%(上日為20.084%)。
李克強表示增強科技創新及發展「互聯網+」,科技股個別發展,阿里-SW(09988.HK)、騰訊(00700.HK)、小米-W(01810.HK)及百度-SW(09888.HK)跌0.9%至1.3%,美團-W(03690.HK)及京東-SW(09618.HK)各升0.4%及1.4%。
花旗指中國政府工作報告(GWR)將今年經濟增長目標設定在約5%的保守水平,相信並不需要大規模的財政刺激或進取的貨幣寬鬆來實現。該行對此並不感意外。另GWR中期強調產業升級、民企、重新開放和吸引外國直接投資等方面,這可能會成為新團隊政策思路的考慮因素。
花旗提到,內地經濟增長目標低於預期意味著政策制定者不願過度刺激經濟,而預算細節亦表明政府的債券供應量增加、利率上升、貿易差額收窄的空間。該行繼續預期更高的中國利率和更低的CFETS人民幣匯率指數,認為消費、互聯網、清潔能源、自動化、醫療保健和交通運輸相關的行業將會受惠於內地政府報告,看好金沙中國(01928.HK)、周大福(01929.HK)、滔搏(06110.HK)、京東-SW(09618.HK)、用友網絡(600588.SH)、隆基綠能(601012.SH)、錦欣生殖(01951.HK)及中國國航(00753.HK)。
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