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《大行報告》美銀證券下調蔚來-SW(09866.HK)目標價至93元 評級「買入」
美銀證券發表研究報告,重申對蔚來-SW(09866.HK)(NIO.US)的「買入」評級,指出公司去年第四季銷售額按年增長62%,整車毛利率為6.8%,較去年同期下降14.1個百分點,主要是來自於現有ES8、ES6及EC6車型相關的存貨撥備、生產設施加速折舊與購買承諾損失的影響。期內淨虧損達58億元人民幣,高於該行預期的淨虧損31億元人民幣。 蔚來管理層透露,預計今年將達到月度銷量將超出3萬輛,並預期高利潤產品交付自第二度起交付,以及碳酸鋰價格較可能回落至正常水平,令今年第四季毛利率可望恢復到18%至20%。公司又估計今年首季可交付3.1萬至3.3萬輛車,即按年增長20%至28%,但交付量及毛利率都將面臨壓力。 因此,美銀將蔚來今明兩年銷量預測分別下調12%及8%,相信2023至2024年淨虧損仍將擴大,相應將目標價由109元降至93元。
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