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《即日市評》人幣創四個月高 恆指今年首交易日揚 車股彈高
市場對中國經濟復甦預期及春節前的季節性結匯需求偏多,在岸及離岸人民幣均創逾四個月新高,在岸人民幣兌美元收6.9050較上一交易日官方收盤價漲464點,港股今日(3日)於2023年首個交易日先跌後回升。美股昨因假期休市,執筆之時美匯指數升至104.44,道指期貨最新升252點或0.76%,納指期貨最新升1%。去年12月財新中國製造業採購經理指數(PMI)降至49,遜市場預期的49.3創三個月低。上證綜指全日升27點或0.88%收3,116點,深證成指升0.92%,滬深兩市成交額7,888億元人民幣。 恆指低開210點,早段曾跌477點一度低見19,303點,午後曾倒升431點一度高見20,212點,全日升363點或1.8%,收20,145點;國指升129點或1.9%,收6,833點;恆生科技指數升104點或2.5%,收4,233點。大市全日成交總額1,206.53億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入41.22億及21.57億元人民幣。 科網股有支持,騰訊(00700.HK)全日上揚3.4%收345.2元,阿裏-SW(09988.HK)股價漲2.8%。聯通(00762.HK)全日股價抽上7.2%。 【聯通受追捧 汽車股彈高】 內地汽車股彈高,比亞迪(01211.HK)及吉利(00175.HK)股價各走高4.7%及4%,理想汽車-W(02015.HK)股價抽升10.5%。高盛發表報告,將內地今年汽車零售銷售預測由早前的1,900萬架,上調至2,050萬架,相當於按年零增長,反映內地的重新開放較預期快,並受到潛在的持續汽車刺激政策支持。 該行表示相信此等利好將推動內地汽車零售及生產於今年復甦,在中資汽車股中予「確信買入」名單包括比亞迪、理想汽車-W及中升(00881.HK)。 【沽空率下降 電力股起舞】 港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲26比15(上日68爲比30),上升股份1,125只(升幅3.1%);恆指成份股今日68只股份上升,下跌股份5只,升跌比率爲89比7(上日爲28比12);大市今日錄沽空196.32億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,061.4億元的18.496%(上日爲19.127%)。 中資電力股受追捧,中國電力(02380.HK)及華能(00902.HK)股價各搶高9.4%及10%,華潤電力(00836.HK)股價升3.9%。摩根大通發表報告指,內地及香港的公用股近日股價表現各異,其中電力股過去兩週跑贏國指13個百分點。該行相信,電廠股走強主要由於廣東及其他省份的電價上升幅度優於預期,而今年的電力交易規則亦指向更多改革措施,以更好地補償火電廠的閒置產能及調峯等,並預示電廠有長期盈利能力。 摩通預期,市場將上調中資電力股的盈利預測,行業首選爲華潤電力,維持「增持」評級及目標價17元。
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