非農之夜 | 若就業低於預期，美元恐將破位下行
FX168財經報社(香港)訊 週五(12月2日)亞市盤中，美元指數基本持穩，該指數現報104.70附近。本交易日，投資者將聚焦當晚公佈的美國非農就業報告，預計將引發市場重大行情。
Kshitij諮詢服務團隊(Kshitij Consultancy Service)週五最新撰文，對美元指數、歐元/美元、歐元/日元、美元/日元、澳元/美元、英鎊/美元以及美元/人民幣後市走勢進行前瞻分析。
因美聯儲最青睞的通脹指標低於預期，加上美聯儲主席鮑威爾的講話提升了人們對美聯儲將很快放慢加息速度的希望，週四美元遭遇拋售。追蹤美元兌六種主要貨幣的ICE美元指數週四暴跌1.2%，至104.68，是8月7日以來最低。
當地時間週三，美聯儲主席鮑威爾在布魯金斯學會(Brookings Institution)就勞動力市場和經濟形勢發表講話，他表示，美聯儲可能會從12月開始放緩加息步伐。
美國商務部週四公佈的數據顯示，美國10月核心個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數環比上漲0.2%，同比上漲5%，分別低於預期的0.3%和5.1%，前值則分別爲0.5%和5.1%。核心PCE物價指數是美聯儲最偏愛的通脹指標，對於利率決定有重大影響。
香港時間週五21:30，投資者將迎來美國11月非農就業報告。權威媒體調查顯示，美國11月非農就業人口料增加20萬，此前10月爲增加26.1萬。美國11月失業率料持平於3.7%。
分析師指出，若非農數據不及預期，美元可能遭遇進一步打壓，從而推動其它主要非美貨幣走強。
Kshitij諮詢服務團隊認爲，昨日美元指數如預期般大幅下跌，跌破短期支撐位105，並朝着昨日提到的104前進。在鮑威爾週三發表講話後，週四發佈的美國消費者支出數據助長了美元指數的跌勢。如果跌破104，則美元指數有可能跌至102。
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