《瑞銀窩輪》美聯儲同意減慢加息步伐資金流入美股淡倉 看淡可留意納指認沽(10526)、道指認沽(10599)
聯儲局最新發表的議息記錄顯示,大多數決策官員同意在未來減慢加息步伐,市場預期美國聯儲局12月加息幅度會減慢至0.5厘,感恩節前最後交易日即週三美股稍為回升。而美股期貨週二於亞洲時段亦向好,道指納指期貨亦微升。如投資者希望兩手準備捕捉美股走勢,看好納指可留意納指認購(10629),行使價13100點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指認沽(10526),行使價10400點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約8.5倍。如投資者看好道指,可留意道指認購(10620),行使價35000點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指認沽(10599),行使價31000點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。
港股方面承接美股先高開約160點,其後在內房股領升下,亦帶動恆指的走勢,恆指全日上升137點,收報17660點,上試其10天線水平。根據瑞銀週四恆指牛熊分佈,牛證重貨區介乎17200-17300點水平,至於熊證重貨區位處於17800-17900水平。如投資者希望捕捉恆指走勢,看好可留意恆指牛證(60881),收回價17000點,行使價16900點,23年12月到期,有效槓桿約21.倍。如投資者看淡恆指,可留意恆指熊證(61868),收回價18178點,行使價18278點,25年4月到期,有效槓桿約33倍。
小米(01810)公佈業績後,雖然業績稍勝預期,但整體盈利數據都較往年下跌,而近日小米股價亦進一步向下,最新下跌3.6%,收報9.5港元。如投資者看淡小米,可留意小米認沽(26643),行使價7.78港元,23年7月到期,有效槓桿約3.1倍。如投資者希望博小米股價反彈,看好小米可留意小米牛證(52323),收回價8.3港元,行使價7.9港元,23年4月到期,有效槓桿約5.5倍。
另外,美團(03690)即將於週五公佈業績,受內地疫情影響,市場普遍預料美團業績或未如理想,加上較早前騰訊發佈派美團的消息,美團近日股價亦明顯走弱。美團於週二時跌穿140港元關口,雖然股價曾略有反彈,週四股價微升0.4%,收報138.9港元,但仍然受制於140港元水平。根據瑞銀週四資金流,顯著資金流入美團的相關認購證,但由於週五美團將公佈業績,預料其後股價或較為波動,如投資者希望作美團的績後部署,可參考牛熊證以避免受引伸波幅變化所影響。如投資者看好美團,可留意美團牛證(59385),收回價120港元,行使價117港元,23年10月到期,有效槓桿約5.7倍。如投資者看淡美團,可留意美團熊證(61840),收回價160港元,行使價163港元,24年1月到期,有效槓桿約6.3倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
輪證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
瑞銀認股證牛熊證團隊
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市文件。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2022。版權所有。~
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