爲何高盛仍力挺沃爾瑪
高盛表示,在不確定的經濟環境下,沃爾瑪(WMT.US)仍是值得持有的零售股。高盛零售分析師Kate McShane重申對沃爾瑪的“買入”評級,目標價爲160美元,較當前股價水平有8%的上漲空間。
分析師給出了三個看好沃爾瑪的理由:1)強勁的營收趨勢以及市場份額的增長;2)庫存狀況改善下,降價壓力的減緩應該能支撐利潤率;3)長期增長模式(經營利潤增長4%甚至更多)保持不變。
週二美股盤前,沃爾瑪公佈了其2022年第三季度財務業績。財報顯示,沃爾瑪Q3營收同比增長8.8%至1528億美元,較市場預期高出60億美元;美國同店銷售額同比增長8.2%,好於市場普遍預期的3.5%。經調整後的每股收益爲1.5美元,較市場預期高出0.18美元。庫存同比增長12.4%,增速低於第二季度的25%。
此外,沃爾瑪給出的業績指引也好於預期。對於2023年,沃爾瑪預計淨銷售額將增長5.5%,此前預期增長4.5%,市場預期爲5.06%;在美國的同店銷售額預計增長約5.5%(不包括燃料);綜合調整後的營業利潤預計同比下降6.5%至7.5%,此前預期爲下降9.0%至11.0%;調整後每股收益預計將下降6%-7%,市場預期爲下降9.5%。
沃爾瑪首席財務官John David Rainey表示:“面對相當具有挑戰性的宏觀環境,我們看到消費者在尋找價值。沃爾瑪的價值主張現在確實引起了消費者的共鳴。”
市場和分析師似乎都認同這一點。除了高盛之外,Jefferies分析師Corey Tarlowe也認爲:“展望未來,庫存改善、廣告業務規模擴大、以及在高收入家庭中獲得更多份額將爲沃爾瑪的股價提供上行空間。”美國銀行分析師Robert Ohmes也指出,沃爾瑪在艱難的消費環境中獲得了更多的市場份額,該公司在具有挑戰性的經濟背景下吸引更廣泛的消費者的強大價值、以及其在食品雜貨領域的市場份額獲得更多增長,將爲其持續增長提供支撐。
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