耀才團隊:恆指10天線站穩後上望16,137點
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(3日)美股震盪,並且連續第四日受壓,由於美國經濟數據欠佳,以及聯儲局議後較為鷹派的指引,利率期貨預測明年終端利率可達到5.15厘,並而長達9個月均會維持於5厘以上,對股市造成壓力。美國美債2及10年期國債息率出現40年來最嚴重的倒掛,引起衰退的隱憂,周五(4日)晚上美國亦會公布重磅非農就業數據,此亦是聯儲局看重的加息因素之一,投資者宜靜觀其變。金龍中國指數收升3.2%,科網股有望率先站穩,昨日跌市時,北水淨流入76億,為連續3日出現超70億的淨流入,主要流入騰訊(00700.HK)及美團-W(03690.HK)。ADR及黑期預示恆指反彈過百點,再度於10天線水平爭持。
至於技術走勢方面,恆指MACD出現牛訊號,為轉勢之現象。指數站穩10天線水平後,將有條件回補10月21日的下跌裂口即16,137點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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