Truist:能源股將再獲追捧
Truist分析師Neal Dingmann表示,隨着第三季度財報季的來臨,考慮到能源板塊健康的自由現金流,投資者似乎準備再次開始買入能源股。Dingmann也青睞該板塊,因爲能源股買入價仍然便宜,且收益的修正趨勢相對積極。
Dingmann表示,在與阿帕奇石油(APA.US)、卡隆石油(CPE.US)、Earthstone Energy (ESTE.US)、墨菲石油(MUR.US)和Northern Oil & Gas(NOG.US)進行了廣泛接觸後,對這些能源公司均予以“買入”評級。
這位分析師預計,在他覆蓋的能源公司中,約有三分之一的公司第三季度的自由現金流將低於第二季度的水平,但自由現金流收益率仍是所有板塊中最高的。
SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE.US)過去三個月上漲了19.2%,年初至今上漲了47.3%,而標普500指數過去三個月下跌了4.9%,全年下跌了22.9%。但即使公用事業類股於本週一上漲,Truist分析師表示,現在仍不是買入公用事業類股的好時機,他們將公用事業類股的前景展望從“增持”下調至“中性”,理由是基本面和估值好壞參半,以及近期技術趨勢走弱。
公用事業精選板塊SPDR ETF (XLU.US)今年已三次攀升至約每股77美元,但每次都在該水平遭遇拋售壓力,導致股價下跌;該ETF目前在63美元左右,從9月中旬的78美元跌至10月初近61美元的今年以來低點。
即使在最近公用事業股價下跌之後,公用事業精選ETF的股息率仍然只有2.85%,在10年期美國國債收益率約爲4%的情況下,仍不足以吸引買家。分析師Michael Fitzsimmons指出,公用事業應該會復甦,因爲有兩個需求相關的催化劑:全球變暖、電動汽車普及,以及拜登政府關於清潔能源和基礎設施的立法。
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