《瑞銀窩輪》恆指超賣 憧憬技術反彈 留意恆指牛證(62427) 恆指認購(24780)
俄烏局勢升溫,通脹又高企不下,多項美國數據亦令市場對聯儲局持續大幅加息預期升溫,導致美股市場草木皆兵。有大行甚至預測美國有可能在未來6至9個月陷入經濟衰退,屆時全球經濟也會受拖累。於是週一美股繼續受壓,納指道指期貨於週二亞洲時間續跌。相信周四公布的9月美國CPI物價指數將會成為短期內影響美股走勢另一關鍵。如投資者希望兩手準備捕捉美股走勢,看好納指可留意納指認購(10629),行使價13100點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約9.4倍。 如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指認沽(10447),行使價8800點,22年12月到期,有效槓桿約9.2倍。如投資者看好道指,可留意道指認購(10620),行使價35000點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約13倍。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指認沽(10497),行使價24400點,22年12月到期,有效槓桿約11倍。
港股週二延續週一跌勢,恆指全日跌384點,下午時段跌幅曾收窄,可惜收市前5分鐘一度尋底,最低跌至16789點,距離上週三高位18000點樓上跌超過1200點。恆指9天RSI相對強弱指數已跌穿30,為市場人士普遍認為超賣的水平。如投資者看好恆指,可留意恆指認購(24780),行使價19600點,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約9.8倍。根據瑞銀即市資金流資料顯示,資金流入16,650至16,750點收回價的牛證比較多,預期此水平有機會成為重貨區。如想避開重倉位,看好投資者可留意恆指牛證(62427),收回價16400點,24年10月到期,有效槓桿約31.倍。
另外,內地部分新能源車實施免購置稅,而乘聯會亦公布9月份數據,9月新能源車產量按年增長111.1%, 銷量方面同時按年增82.9%。消息有機會利好新能源車版塊,龍頭車股比亞迪 (01211) 9月銷量遠勝預期,甚至比第2至第11名銷量總和多近1倍。如投資者看好比亞迪,可留意比亞迪認購(25392),行使價268.88港元,23年2月到期,有效槓桿約6.7倍。其他新能源車股也不俗,其中吉利(00175)新能源車9月銷量增近5倍,如投資者看好吉利,可留意吉利認購(15926),行使價13.52港元,23年3月到期,有效槓桿約5.1倍。如投資者看好小鵬 (09868),可留意小鵬認購(26082),行使價59.55港元,23年11月到期,有效槓桿約2.1倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站:
輪證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
瑞銀認股證牛熊證團隊
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市檔。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2022。版權所有。~
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