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油價年內“四連降”!

根據國家發改委消息,新一輪成品油調價窗口將於今天(8月9日)24時開啓。據國家發改委價格監測中心監測,本輪成品油調價週期內(7月26日—8月8日)國際油價繼續下降,倫敦布倫特、紐約WTI油價降至2月俄烏戰事以來的低位。平均來看,兩市油價比上輪調價週期下降3.44%。

從國家發改委獲悉,本次油價調整具體情況如下:國內汽、柴油價格每噸分別下調130元和125元。

​全國平均來看:

92號汽油每升下調0.1元;

95號汽油每升下調0.11元;

0號柴油每升下降0.11元。

央視財經記者給您算了一筆賬,按一般家用汽車油箱50L容量估測,加滿一箱92號汽油,將少花5元。

短期內油價可能偏弱運行

調價週期內,全球主要國家製造業數據表現疲軟,其中歐元區PMI指數跌破50的榮枯分水線,美國PMI指數也降至近兩年來最低值;美西方國家爲抑制高通脹紛紛採取加息政策,加重了市場對經濟下行和原油需求下滑的擔憂;近期美國原油商業庫存和汽油庫存多次超預期大幅增加,尤其是當前正處於夏季用油高峯季,庫存上升凸顯了消費疲軟。目前倫敦布倫特、紐約WIT油價分別降至每桶96和90美元的水平。

國家發改委價格監測中心預計,短期內油價可能偏弱運行,但影響油價的不確定因素仍然較多。供應方面,美國頁巖油鑽機數升至600座的兩年高位;利比亞原油生產部分恢復;月初OPEC+將增產目標提高10萬桶/日。總體來看,原油供應有增加趨勢,加上經濟走弱和需求下降預期,將共同導致油價走勢偏弱運行。不過,重點仍需關注地緣政治局勢變化對油價的影響,如西方國家限制俄羅斯原油出口價格的炒作升溫,以及氣候變化以及颶風季對生產的影響。

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