You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
CHINA DONGXIANG(03818.HK):COVID-19 IMPACT WEIGHS ON END-MARKET SALES;JUNE SALES RECOVER TO JUNE 2021 LEVEL
格隆匯 07-25 00:00
What's newChina Dongxiang’s 1QFY23 (April-June 2022) retail sales of the Kappa brand (excluding the Kappa kids’ apparel business) registered a mid-to-high-teens decline YoY, and same-store sales (SSS) saw a mid-to-low-teens decrease. As of end-June, the firm had 1,130 Kappa-branded stores (excluding the Kappa kids’ apparel business).CommentsCOVID-19 resurgence weighed on end-market sales in 1QFY23. Domestic COVID-19 resurgence in 2Q22 weighed on end-market sales. Retail sales of Kappa brand (excluding the Kappa kids’ apparel business) registered a mid-to-high-teens decline YoY. SSS of Kappa brand (excluding the Kappa kids’ apparel business) saw a mid-to-low-teens decrease in 1QFY23 as COVID-19 resurgence impacted offline customer traffic and consumer sentiment. Moreover, some Kappa-branded stores, especially those in shopping malls, suspended operation due to COVID-19. We note that the firm’s end-market sales had gradually recovered to the June 2021 level in June 2022 as the impact of COVID-19 resurgence eased. As of end-June, the firm had 1,130 Kappa-branded stores (excluding the Kappa kids’ apparel business), with a net closure of 53 stores vs. end-March.Online sales remain under pressure. Data from Mktindex.com shows that April-June sales of sports footwear and apparel of the Kappa brand in Taobao ecosystem (Taobao & Tmall) fell 9%, 42%, and 38% YoY. We think the firm’s online sales were under pressure. During the 618 (June 18) shopping festival, retail sales of the Kappa brand for the overall platform dropped about 30% YoY due to weak sales on Tmall. The firm also expanded its e-commerce business to Douyin and booked sound sales growth on the platform. Management plans to continue to optimize the firm’s stores on Tmall, develop new fashionable sports products, re-connect with consumers, and expand its customer base. Meanwhile, the firm plans to expand businesses on content-based e-commerce platforms such as Douyin and Xiaohongshu to launch blockbuster products.Product reforms continue. The firm focuses on the fashionable sportswear market, and launched a series of vintage fashion products which generated positive feedback in FY23. The firm also released co-branded products such as "Kappa X Chibi Maruko-chan" and "Kappa X Britto" to enhance the Kappa’s brand name and product competitiveness. Management indicated that it will continue to strengthen product quality and product culture to enhance the Kappa brand name.Financials and valuationWe maintain our FY23 and FY24 EPS forecasts at Rmb0.03 and Rmb0.08. The stock is trading at 11x and 5x FY23e and FY24e P/E. We maintain OUTPERFORM. We keep our valuation of 8x FY23e P/E for the apparel business unchanged, and grant a discount of 71% to the firm's multi-business model. Overall, we maintain our SOTP-based target price at HK$0.53, offering 30% upside.RisksProlonged COVID-19 pandemic; retail sales environment in the end-market and/or reforms disappoints; investment income fluctuates.
Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of this article is for reference only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, financial products or instruments.The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account