美聯:工商鋪上半年成交跌近三成 下半年料回升至約2,900宗
美聯工商鋪行政總裁(工商鋪)盧展豪在記者會上表示,今年上半年本港爆發第五波疫情,加上俄烏戰事導致股市波動,打擊工商鋪市場表現。計及逾億元公司轉讓買賣個案,上半年工商鋪合共錄得約2,655宗買賣,按年跌28.5%,而成交金額錄497.1億元,按年跌31.6%。
不過,他認爲隨着本港疫情趨穩,加上疫苗通行證推行,相信第五波疫情對市場負面影響將逐步減退。而政府將於8月發放第二期電子消費券,有望支持消費信心回升。此外,雖然現時通關時間表未明,但新任行政長官李家超表示正積極研究與內地及國際通關,一旦通關消息有所落實,相信能進一步推動投資信心。
盧展豪續指,美國加息雖然對市場有影響,但本港息口仍處非常低水平,若下半年疫情持續受控,政府未有再收緊防疫措施,並繼續與內地商議通關,估計工商鋪成交量將會轉趨平穩, 下半年料約2,900宗,較上半年升約一成,全年計則約有5,555宗。
細分各個板塊,美聯預期工廈下半年售價及租金各可升5%內;甲廈售價及租金料各升3%至5%;核心區鋪位租售價估計平穩至升5%,民生區則預計升5%。
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