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《亞洲股市》亞太股市早段隨外圍續升0.7%-1.6% 日經升幅最小
美國6月密歇根大學通脹預期終值意外下修,加上美國5月季調後新屋銷量意外年內首升10.7%但房價中位數按月轉降1.3%。此外,IMF大幅調低美國今明兩年GDP增長預測,但認為美國經濟可勉強避過衰退,料2024年GDP仍可增長0.8%;高盛首席經濟師Jan Hatzius也指仍未視美國經濟衰退為基本假設,但相信經濟將進入低增長期及衰退風險已經上升;今年有投票權聯儲局官員布拉德也認為美國經濟不太可能衰退,因為於疫情期間積累的儲蓄令他們願意消費。市場對美國長期通脹飆升迫使聯儲局激進加息或令經濟陷入衰退擔憂暫時緩解,刺激美股上周五全面急漲2.7%-3.3%兩連彈,30隻藍籌有26隻升逾1%-7%,Salesforce(CRM.US)持續跑贏,股價五連漲;美國大型銀行全部通過聯儲局的壓力測試,金融股止跌回升,尤其是大摩(MS.US)、高盛(GS.US)及富國(WFC.US)急彈5.2%-7.6%、摩通(JPM.US)、運通(AXP.US)及花旗(C.US)升3%-3.3%,工業股也顯著反彈,卡特彼勒(CAT.US)及波音(BA.US)漲3.8%-5.6%,帶動道指及標指急升2.7%及3.1%,高收31,500及3,911;權重科網股續升逾2%-5%,費城半導體指數急彈4.5%,帶動納指續漲3.3%高收11,607。此外,歐洲主要股市也全面反彈1.6%-3.2%,CAC及英國富時彈力最強,DAX跑輸。 美股期貨全面回吐0.4%,其中道指期貨報31,352,回吐135點或0.4%。然而,亞太股市早段全面繼續造好,美元兌日圓於亞洲吐近0.4%報134.59,日經連升第三天,最高見26,789,現報26,680,續升188點或0.7%。 韓股繼上周五由逾年半低位急彈2.3%後,現報2,396,續升1.3%。台灣加權指數由近年半低位連彈第二天,報15,544,續升1.6%。澳洲200連升第三天,報6,686,續升1.6%。新西蘭50指數長周末假後復市延續上周四反彈1.3%勢,報10,975,續升1.5%。
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