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美股週報(5.22) | 大型商超業績暴雷,美股衰退敍事增強,美聯儲安撫市場未果;中概互聯網表現相對較好,拼多多周漲超8%
格隆匯 05-23 07:40

周美股延續跌勢標普周跌3%,納指2.6%,道指2.1%,週二和週五尾盤出現流動性反彈行情。美國十年國債收益率續跌13個基點,收報2.788%,與兩年期國債收益率息差20個基點。恐慌指數本週大幅波動,收漲1.94%。油價期貨小幅上漲,布倫特原油漲1.33%。現貨黃金漲1.94%,收報1846.62美元/盎司。美元指數較大幅度回落,周跌幅1.36%,收報103.03。

市場整體的交易主線仍是通脹和明年潛在衰退,觸發因素在大型商超包括沃爾瑪、塔吉特等財報暴雷,本來作為資金避險青睞有加的必選消費板塊隨着大幅回撤,市場對於通脹的預期悲觀情緒加劇。從資金流向來看,其他抗通脹的板塊如能源、醫療和公用事業等維持比較好的表現。

 

美聯儲官員講話基本沒有新的內容,市場保持對6月、7月分別加息50個基點的預期,即美聯儲會維持“加息前置”的策略,首要目標為降低通脹,甚至不惜以衰退為代價。此前有“鷹王”之稱的布拉德,講話意外沒有太多鷹味,表示國債和住房抵押貸款市場利率的上升意味着,美聯儲並不像人們想象那樣落後於收益率曲線。分析師稱,這樣的表態可能表明今年可能不會面臨主動縮表的壓力。

 

行業板塊方面,標普11大板塊多數收跌。可選消費大跌8%,高科技板塊跌3.5%,通信和金融板塊跌近2%,工業板塊跌3.6%。醫療和能源板塊收漲約1%。

 

本週重點財經數據與事件:

週一歐洲央行管委霍爾茨曼,英國央行行長貝利發表講話。

週二FOMC票委喬治發表講話;歐元區發佈5月製造業PMI數據。

週三美國發布至5月20日當週API原油庫存;美聯儲主席鮑威爾發表講話。

週四美聯儲公佈5月貨幣政策會議紀要。

週五美國公佈4月個人支出數據,以及核心PCE物價指數。

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