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《即日市評》人行降LPR利率 港股向上 招行受追捧
人行下調五年期LPR(貸款市場報價利率)利率15個基點,市場解讀爲中央釋出穩增長信號,港股今日向上。市場憂美通脹損害企業盈利,美股道指及納指昨晚各跌0.8%及0.3%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.867釐,美匯指數跌至102.93,美股道指期貨最新升287點或0.92%,納指期貨最新升1.67%,摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.23%至103.48。總理李克強近日指新措施能用盡用,努力使經濟較快回歸正常軌道,人行今日宣佈降年期LPR利率,而在岸及離岸人民幣齊升穿6.7水平,上證綜指今日升49點或1.6%收3,146點,深證成指升1.8%,滬深兩市成交額共9,206億人民幣。 恆指今早高開350點後升幅反覆擴大,曾升673點一度高見20,794點,全日升596點或2.96%,收20,717點;國指升221點或3.22%,收7,121點;恆生科技指數升193點或4.74%,收4,284點。大市全日成交總額1,226.68億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入7.59億及9.89億元人民幣。就恆生指數服務公司將於今日公佈檢討結果,早前獲富瑞料有機會「染藍」藥明康德(02359.HK)今日股價抽升5.9%,中芯(00981.HK)則升2.5%。 恆指本週累升818點或4.1%、國指本週累升314點或4.6%、恆生科指本週累升245點或6.1%。美國聯儲局主席鮑威爾近日重申未來兩次議息會議料將每次加息0.5釐,人民幣及亞洲貨幣匯價上升,兼且市場憧憬中國政府出臺寬鬆措施以支持經濟增長。 【降LPR利率 招行股價受捧】 人行下調五年期LPR利率15個基點,內房股走個別,華潤置地(01109.HK)股價升1.6%,內銀股造好,建行(00939.HK)股價上揚2.2%。高盛發表報告表示,由於抵押貸款利率以五年期LPR爲參考,此次下調意味着房地產政策進一步放鬆,全國首套房抵押貸款利率下限,將從之前的4.4%進一步下調至4.25%,加上人行早前宣佈下調首套房貸款利率下限20個基點,首套房抵押貸款利率可能會降低多達1個百分點。該行表示,人行將五年期LPR利率下調,可能有助於改善內地房地產市場情緒,但基於房地產和整體活動指標一直疲弱,認爲當局需要更多的政策寬鬆來支持增長。 招行(03968.HK)全日股價彈高7.3%收49.1元。瑞信發表報告,認爲招行聘任王良出任行長,消除管理不穩定陰霾,相信銀保監會最終批準任命的機會很高,預計王良將在未來幾年領導招行的發展,不會發生重大戰略轉變。瑞信維持對招行評級「跑贏大市」,目標價68元。 【上升股千二隻 小米績後上揚】 港股今日市寬轉向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲30比11(上日12比27),上升股份1,275只(升幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日64只股份上升,下跌股份2只,升跌比率爲97比3(上日爲15比80);大市今日錄沽213.8億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,056.04億的20.246%(上日爲22.268%)。 小米(01810.HK)今日股價彈高近6%收11.74元,高盛發表報告指,小米今年首季業績符合預期,收入按年下跌5%,經營毛利及純利則按年減半。不過,集團季績有兩個驚喜之處,包括更深入及更好地連接小米的人工智能物聯網生態圈,及互聯網月活躍用戶快速拓展。該行預計小米將能利用其優化的智能手機產品組合和全球影響力,使智能手機出貨量增長在今年下半年及明年分別達12%及10%。
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