瑞銀汪濤:人民幣對美元年中可能突破7算
瑞銀投資銀行亞洲經濟研究主管暨首席中國經濟學家汪濤指,4月中國出口按年增速從3月的14.7%降至3.9%,而進口較去年同期基本持平。高頻數據顯示疫情衝擊對外貿存在明顯擾動,可能是拖累4月出口走弱的因素之一。
汪濤認爲,數據顯示4月末國內交通和港口貨運量有復甦跡象。假設未來幾周交通和貨運得以持續好轉,則疫情衝擊對進出口貿易的影響有望逐漸消退,5月貿易增速有望邊際改善。
瑞銀亦調整了對人民幣預測,預計未來幾個月內人民幣對美元進一步走弱,在年中可能突破7,不過年底應該重新回到6.9。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of this article is for reference only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, financial products or instruments.The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.