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植耀輝: 美股反覆觀望CPI數據 港股料19,500點拉鋸
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(10日)走勢反覆,開市早段三大指數均出現反彈,惟克利夫蘭聯儲銀行行長Loretta Mester指不能排除加息0.75厘之鷹派言論,三大指數又再輾轉回落並倒跌。不過科技股見有資金吸納,最終納指及標普500指數上升,當中標普500指數重上4,000點之上。至於道指則下跌84點或0.3%,收報32,160點。投資者關注今日(11日)公布之美國CPI數據。 港股方面,受隔晚美股拖累,恆指甫開市便裂口大跌700點,低見19,300點,其後跌幅更進一步擴大至822點。不過隨著A股回升及美期出現反彈,大市跌幅亦逐步收窄,最終收報19,633點,下跌368點,成交金額急增至1,436.8億元。科技股表現繼續未見起色,「ATMXJ」均持續下跌,跌幅介乎2.3%至8.2%不等。碧桂園服務(06098.HK)及碧桂園(02007.HK)則為最差表現藍籌,分別下跌10.5%及8.4%。相關股份短期料會繼續左右大市去向。 由於隔晚美股走勢反覆,加上投資者續觀望美國CPI數據,預期今日將維持拉鋸格局,於19,500點附近上落。但正如筆者早前指出,港股暫缺乏利好消息支持,相信縱有反彈幅度亦相當有限。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ************* 恆指首要反彈阻力位於4月27日低位19,665點 耀才研究部稱,隔晚(10日)美股先升後回,道指曾經反彈過500點,但其後一度將升幅蒸發並倒跌逾300點,收市跌84點。標指及納指則錄得升幅。市場關注今晚公布的美國通脹數據CPI,由於多名聯儲官員對下次會否加息0.75厘持開放態度,令大市較難出現反彈。另一方面,拜登承諾應對高通脹問題,可能考慮調低中國貨關稅,但同時美國SEC把第七批共11家在美國上市的中國公司列入預定除牌名單,當中包括包括滴滴(DIDI.US)、陸金所(LU.US)、金山雲(KC.US)和趣頭條(QTT.US),限制了大市的反彈力度,關注後續發展。北水昨日流入科網股、沽售內房,黑期預示恆指將再度跌穿19,500點水平,如指數短期未能重返4月27日低位19,665點,則確認跌穿再下試低位的勢頭。中國今日(11日)將公布CPI及PPI數據,市場預期CPI按年增1.8%,PPI預期增7.8%。 技術上,由於恆指再度跌穿19,800點至21,100的交易區間,以1,300點波幅量度起計,指數將於18,500點至19,800點上落。指數首要反彈阻力位於4月27日低位19,665點。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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