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中銀香港(02388.HK)料美元季內維持區間偏強 黃金季內早段難升
阿思達克 04-12 11:27
中銀香港(02388.HK)個人數字金融產品部財富顧問處資深財富顧問高耀豪表示,美國加息步伐仍強於其他地區,惟利率期貨已大幅反映加息預期,因此難以進一步大幅推升美元,然而美國聯儲局很可能於5月甚至6月議息會議中分別加息半厘,情緒氣氛上仍然對美元有利,故預期美元於季內維持區間偏強的表現。 他指出,商品貨幣比歐元及日圓等低息貨幣較有優勢,黃金方面,雖然黃金一般於美聯儲啟動加息週期後走強,但目前實際利率仍然偏低,當聯儲局正式縮表時,假設地緣氣氛改善,通脹或將見頂,屆時名義利率進一步上升將帶動實際利率上升,從而影響黃金表現,所以預期黃金於季內早段應難以正式進入上升趨勢。
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