渣打上调美联储加息预期 料今年5月及6月议息会议各加息50点子
渣打驻纽约的G-10货币研究负责人Steve Englander发表报告,上调美联储加息步伐预期,料美联储今年5月及6月议息会议各加息50点子,原先料各次会议加息25点子。该行增加今年12月加息25点子预测,料今年底联邦基金利率目标范围升至2%,原先预期为1.25%。
该行称,承认低估美联储改变立场的速度。该行剔除明年首季加息预测,维持次季加息预测,料次季及之后利率为2.25%,原先估算为1.75%。该行至7月对联邦基金利率预测与市场相近,但之后则有显著分别。
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