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《即日市評》恆指2月累跌千點 港交所及賭股今走弱
俄烏戰事持續,普京下令俄國核武處最高戒備,西方國家宣布阻止俄羅斯多間銀行進入SWIFT國際支付系統後,盧布兌美元急挫三成,俄羅斯央行將關鍵利率上調至20%,港股今日反覆造淡。執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.912厘,美匯指數處於97.17,美股道指期貨最新跌495點或1.46%,納指期貨最新跌1.6%,市場關注俄羅斯與烏克蘭即將進行的會談。人行今進行3,000億人幣7天期逆回購操作,單日淨投放2,900億人幣,上證綜指全日升10點或0.32%收3,462點,深證成指升0.3%,滬深兩市成交額共9,391億人民幣。 恆指高開50點後掉頭向下,最多跌361點一度低見22,406點,尾市跌幅收窄,全日跌54點或0.24%,收22,713點;國指升32點或0.4%,收8,023點;恆生科技指數升5點或0.11%,收5,118點。大市全日成交總額1,534.79億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入10.3億及12.7億元。 恆指2月累跌1,089點或4.6%、國指2月累跌326點或3.9%、恆生科指2月累跌298點或5.5%。市場關注本港新冠疫情日趨嚴峻,憂損及銀行、財管業務及零售餐飲消費表現;投資者亦擔心俄烏爆發戰事,西方國家對俄推出一系列制裁行動,或改變全球央行加息步伐,緣政治緊張亦有機會影響全球供應鏈及航運情況。 【恆指本月挫千點 匯控港交所今走弱】 部份金融股走弱,匯控(00005.HK)股價走低1.2%收54.1元,中銀香港(02388.HK)跌近0.4%。瑞信策略師Zoltan Pozsar發表報告指,把俄羅斯多間主要銀行逐出國際支付系統SWIFT之外,將導致國際銀行系統內逾期支付及大額透支,逼使各國央行重啟每日操作以向市場供應美元,美聯儲實際上或將先行進一步擴大資產負債表。 港交所(00388.HK)股價下滑3.2%收377.6元。花旗發表報告指,港交所日均成交量預期隨著中國經濟及金融市場發展而持續增長,但由於今年利潤將受到交易低迷影響,市場避險情緒同時抑制IPO活動,加上港交所的每股盈利面臨下行壓力,估值仍遠高於歷史平均水平,因此重申「沽售」評級。 【沽空率高位回落 大家樂及賭股弱】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比26(上日為25比15),下跌股份1,100隻(跌幅2.8%),恆指成份股今日25隻股份上升,下跌股份39隻,升跌比率為39比61(上日為39比58);大市今日錄沽空244.26億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,295.69額億的18.852%(上日為21.018%)。 本港新冠疫情惡化,暫停提供堂食服務的大家樂(00341.HK)股價挫6.4%。濠賭股受壓,新濠國際(00200.HK)下挫近9.4%,美高梅中國(02282.HK)及永利澳門(01128.HK)股價均下滑近5.1%。
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